Hm—interesting suggestion! The basic case here seems pretty compelling to me. One question I don’t know the answer to is how predicable countries trajectories are—like how much would a niave extrapolation have predicted the current balance of power 50 years ago? If very unpredictable it might not be worth it in terms of EV to bet on the extrapolation. But
I feel more intuitievely excited about trying to foster home grown EA communities in a range of such countries, since many of the people working on it would probably have reasons to be in and focus on those countries anyway because they’re from there.
Hm—interesting suggestion! The basic case here seems pretty compelling to me. One question I don’t know the answer to is how predicable countries trajectories are—like how much would a niave extrapolation have predicted the current balance of power 50 years ago? If very unpredictable it might not be worth it in terms of EV to bet on the extrapolation. But
I feel more intuitievely excited about trying to foster home grown EA communities in a range of such countries, since many of the people working on it would probably have reasons to be in and focus on those countries anyway because they’re from there.