This was a lot of good discussion of epistemics, and I highly valued that, but I was also hoping for some hot forecasting tips. ;) I’ll try asking the question differently.
I understood your intent! :) I actually plan to answer the spirit of your question on Sunday, just decided to break the general plan to “not answer questions until my official AMA time” because I thought the caveat was sufficiently important to have in the open!
This was a lot of good discussion of epistemics, and I highly valued that, but I was also hoping for some hot forecasting tips. ;) I’ll try asking the question differently.
I understood your intent! :) I actually plan to answer the spirit of your question on Sunday, just decided to break the general plan to “not answer questions until my official AMA time” because I thought the caveat was sufficiently important to have in the open!