Strong upvoted, and thank you, because finally someone is honest about their doubts. You’re as critical in your speech as you are in your thoughts. This should be standard, but it’s rare.
projects that seem pretty tragic like “writing a novel on AI alignment” and “writing a mobile game”—it’s a difficult balance here, unoccupied rooms are doing nothing for the hotel but equally I doubt indulging these sorts of things are valuable
This is what I understand to be hits-based giving. If you have 20 rooms, you can make these kinds of weird gambles, and someone should be doing that.
Poor presentation- I found the post on expected value essentially incoherent as a pitch , but in all of the posts so far little thought seems to have been put into the elevator pitch of why fund this or what are the best aspects of the project are. Funders want a one paragraph or one sentence summary of why they should fund it which seems absent here
I take full responsibility for that. Perhaps I should have studied how other meta organisations estimate their value. I was hubristic to assume that I would be able to do it from scratch.
People don’t want to be associated with something low status
I’d rather assume EA’s to be above status when it comes to stakes this high.
not even close to every current/previous resident had made even a nominal donation of £5 to the campaign
I don’t see why they should. At that point you’re just manipulating impressions. I want to present an honest picture, and I don’t want to engage in a signalling race to the bottom.
Strong upvoted, and thank you, because finally someone is honest about their doubts. You’re as critical in your speech as you are in your thoughts. This should be standard, but it’s rare.
This is what I understand to be hits-based giving. If you have 20 rooms, you can make these kinds of weird gambles, and someone should be doing that.
I take full responsibility for that. Perhaps I should have studied how other meta organisations estimate their value. I was hubristic to assume that I would be able to do it from scratch.
I’d rather assume EA’s to be above status when it comes to stakes this high.
I don’t see why they should. At that point you’re just manipulating impressions. I want to present an honest picture, and I don’t want to engage in a signalling race to the bottom.
Perhaps that’s naive.
EAs are super into status. I’m really surprised you don’t think it affects their behaviour at all.
I do think it affects their behavior, I just refuse to let it affect mine more than is strictly necessary, because I think it’s a negative sum game.