I think that people now matter more than people in the future.
This could be interpreted as a moral claim that, on an individual basis, a current person matters more than a counterfactual future person. Based on the rest of your post, I don’t think you’re claiming that at all. Instead you’re making arguments about the uncertainty of the future.
I think a lot has been written about these claims around future uncertainty and those well-versed in longtermism have some compelling counterarguments. It would be nice to see a concise summary of the arguments for and against written in a way that’s really accessible to an EA newcomer.
Thanks for the post. Some quick comments!
This could be interpreted as a moral claim that, on an individual basis, a current person matters more than a counterfactual future person. Based on the rest of your post, I don’t think you’re claiming that at all. Instead you’re making arguments about the uncertainty of the future.
I think a lot has been written about these claims around future uncertainty and those well-versed in longtermism have some compelling counterarguments. It would be nice to see a concise summary of the arguments for and against written in a way that’s really accessible to an EA newcomer.