As I mentioned in my other reply, I don’t see as much value in responding to weak-man claims here on the forum, but agree that they can be useful more generally.
Regarding “secondary uncertainty, value of information, and similar issues,” I’d be happy to point to sources that are relevant on these topics generally, especially Morgan and Henrion’s “Uncertainty,” which is a general introduction to some of these ideas, and my RAND dissertation chairs work on policy making under uncertainty, focused on US DOD decisions, but applicable more widely. Unfortunately, I haven’t put together my ideas on this, and don’t know that anyone at GPI has done so either—but I do know that they have engaged with several people at RAND who do this type of work, so it’s on their agenda.
As I mentioned in my other reply, I don’t see as much value in responding to weak-man claims here on the forum, but agree that they can be useful more generally.
Regarding “secondary uncertainty, value of information, and similar issues,” I’d be happy to point to sources that are relevant on these topics generally, especially Morgan and Henrion’s “Uncertainty,” which is a general introduction to some of these ideas, and my RAND dissertation chairs work on policy making under uncertainty, focused on US DOD decisions, but applicable more widely. Unfortunately, I haven’t put together my ideas on this, and don’t know that anyone at GPI has done so either—but I do know that they have engaged with several people at RAND who do this type of work, so it’s on their agenda.