This is very helpful.
Might you have a rough estimate for how much the bar has gone up in expected value?
E.g. is the marginal grant now 2x, 3x etc. higher impact than before?
I don’t have a good answer, sorry. The difficulty of getting cardinal estimates for longtermist grants is a lot of what drove our decision to go with an ordinal approach instead.
This is very helpful.
Might you have a rough estimate for how much the bar has gone up in expected value?
E.g. is the marginal grant now 2x, 3x etc. higher impact than before?
I don’t have a good answer, sorry. The difficulty of getting cardinal estimates for longtermist grants is a lot of what drove our decision to go with an ordinal approach instead.