Because the orgs in question have literally said so, because I think the people working there genuinely care about their impact and are competent enough to have heard of Goodhart’s law, and because in several cases there have been major strategy changes which cannot be explained by a model of “everyone working there has a massive blindspot and is focused on easy to meet targets”. As one concrete example, 80k’s focus has switched to be very explicitly longtermist, which it was not originally. They’ve also published several articles about areas of their thinking which were wrong or could have been improved, which again I would not expect for an organisation merely focused on gaming its own metrics.
Because the orgs in question have literally said so, because I think the people working there genuinely care about their impact and are competent enough to have heard of Goodhart’s law, and because in several cases there have been major strategy changes which cannot be explained by a model of “everyone working there has a massive blindspot and is focused on easy to meet targets”. As one concrete example, 80k’s focus has switched to be very explicitly longtermist, which it was not originally. They’ve also published several articles about areas of their thinking which were wrong or could have been improved, which again I would not expect for an organisation merely focused on gaming its own metrics.