Thank you, that was informative. I don’t think you missed anything, though I haven’t myself thought about this question much—that is in part why I was curious to see someone else try to answer it.
I think genetic selection and/or editing has the potential to be transformative, and perhaps even to result in greater-than-human intelligence. Despite this, it’s comparatively neglected, both within EA and society at large. So having more explicit forecasts in this area seems pretty valuable.
Thank you, that was informative. I don’t think you missed anything, though I haven’t myself thought about this question much—that is in part why I was curious to see someone else try to answer it.
I think genetic selection and/or editing has the potential to be transformative, and perhaps even to result in greater-than-human intelligence. Despite this, it’s comparatively neglected, both within EA and society at large. So having more explicit forecasts in this area seems pretty valuable.