The long view—looking at history from the perspective of someone who has lived for millions or billions of years rather than decades.
This Can’t Go On / Limits to Growth -- The economy can’t continue to grow at the rate it has for the last several decades for more than 10,000 years. Total compute can’t continue to grow at the same rate it has the last several decades for more than 350 years, since the physical limit of the maximum size computer in the observable universe would be reached by then.
This is the Dream Time -- Billions of years from now, if civilization is still around, people will look back on this era of only a few centuries that we are in now as being special and unique.
Three related ideas:
The long view—looking at history from the perspective of someone who has lived for millions or billions of years rather than decades.
This Can’t Go On / Limits to Growth -- The economy can’t continue to grow at the rate it has for the last several decades for more than 10,000 years. Total compute can’t continue to grow at the same rate it has the last several decades for more than 350 years, since the physical limit of the maximum size computer in the observable universe would be reached by then.
This is the Dream Time -- Billions of years from now, if civilization is still around, people will look back on this era of only a few centuries that we are in now as being special and unique.