Interested to know more about the estimated death toll from climate change—I’m finding the figures you give hard to believe.
You mention ‘hundreds of millions’ of deaths in coming decades—what’s the source for that? You cite the WHO, which talks about “250,000 additional deaths per year between 2030 and 2050”, or 2.5million per decade.
Your source for climate change having caused hundreds of thousands of deaths so far gets there by calculating excess deaths from a European heatwave, but presumably warming also caused a warmer winter and so fewer deaths from cold—the paper doesn’t discuss that, surprisingly.
Interested to know more about the estimated death toll from climate change—I’m finding the figures you give hard to believe.
You mention ‘hundreds of millions’ of deaths in coming decades—what’s the source for that? You cite the WHO, which talks about “250,000 additional deaths per year between 2030 and 2050”, or 2.5million per decade.
Your source for climate change having caused hundreds of thousands of deaths so far gets there by calculating excess deaths from a European heatwave, but presumably warming also caused a warmer winter and so fewer deaths from cold—the paper doesn’t discuss that, surprisingly.
Are there more rigorous estimates out there?
(citations taken from Louis Dixon’s notes on your talk)