Just as a prior, I would think it’s more likely for motivated reasoning to generate the belief “it is optimal from a health perspective to spend more time doing something that makes me feel better while awake, and that doesn’t require any productivity during that extra time,” than “it is not optimal to spend more time on that, and if anything it is probably optimal to spend less time on that so you can do more effortfully productive things.”
I agree with that prior as stated but I think it’s reasonable to expect that other sources of motivated reasoning might dominate here, in both directions.
Just as a prior, I would think it’s more likely for motivated reasoning to generate the belief “it is optimal from a health perspective to spend more time doing something that makes me feel better while awake, and that doesn’t require any productivity during that extra time,” than “it is not optimal to spend more time on that, and if anything it is probably optimal to spend less time on that so you can do more effortfully productive things.”
I agree with that prior as stated but I think it’s reasonable to expect that other sources of motivated reasoning might dominate here, in both directions.