The issue with these interventions suggested for preventing collapse is that they generally have much more pressing impacts besides this. For instance, of course approval voting is great, but its impacts on other political issues (both ordinary political problems, and other tail scenarios like dictatorship) are much more significant. More generally, stuff that makes America politically healthier reduces the probability that it will collapse, and the converse is almost always true. So not only is the collapse possibility relatively unimportant, it’s mostly unnecessary baggage to carry in your cognitive model.
As for movement infrastructure, a similar logic probably applies as EA organizations have many other priorities with these things.
not only is the collapse possibility relatively unimportant,
I’m not sure this is true, though, if I’m right that certain Collapse scenarios are GCRs, because they could cause or entail great-power war or nuclear war.
The issue with these interventions suggested for preventing collapse is that they generally have much more pressing impacts besides this. For instance, of course approval voting is great, but its impacts on other political issues (both ordinary political problems, and other tail scenarios like dictatorship) are much more significant. More generally, stuff that makes America politically healthier reduces the probability that it will collapse, and the converse is almost always true. So not only is the collapse possibility relatively unimportant, it’s mostly unnecessary baggage to carry in your cognitive model.
As for movement infrastructure, a similar logic probably applies as EA organizations have many other priorities with these things.
I’m not sure this is true, though, if I’m right that certain Collapse scenarios are GCRs, because they could cause or entail great-power war or nuclear war.