I am aware of two (short-term) questions related to civil war scenarios on Metaculus:
Coup-o-meter to enter “Attempted Coup” range (resolved positively a few days ago);
Second US civil war before July 2021?.
Similar question for 2031 now upcoming.
I am aware of two (short-term) questions related to civil war scenarios on Metaculus:
Coup-o-meter to enter “Attempted Coup” range (resolved positively a few days ago);
Second US civil war before July 2021?.
Similar question for 2031 now upcoming.