I’m doing research around forecasting, and I’d just note: 1) Forecasting seems nice for judgement, it is very narrow (as currently discussed). 2) It seems quite damning that every single other field isn’t currently recommended as an obvious improvement to judgement, but right now not much else comes to mind. There’s a lot of Academia that seems like it could be good, but right now it’s a whole lot of work to learn and the expected benefits aren’t particularly clear.
If anyone else reading this has suggestions, please leave them in the comments.
It’s maybe also worth noting that my definition of ‘judgement’ is pretty narrow also, and more narrow than the standard usage. I’m working on a separate piece about ‘good thinking’ more broadly.
I’m doing research around forecasting, and I’d just note:
1) Forecasting seems nice for judgement, it is very narrow (as currently discussed).
2) It seems quite damning that every single other field isn’t currently recommended as an obvious improvement to judgement, but right now not much else comes to mind. There’s a lot of Academia that seems like it could be good, but right now it’s a whole lot of work to learn and the expected benefits aren’t particularly clear.
If anyone else reading this has suggestions, please leave them in the comments.
It’s maybe also worth noting that my definition of ‘judgement’ is pretty narrow also, and more narrow than the standard usage. I’m working on a separate piece about ‘good thinking’ more broadly.