I do broadly agree with the direction and the sentiment: on the margin, I’d be typically interested in other forecasts than “year of AGI” much more.
For example: in time where we get “AGI” (according to your definition)
… how large fraction of GDP are AI companies?
… how big is AI as a political topic?
… what does the public think?
I do broadly agree with the direction and the sentiment: on the margin, I’d be typically interested in other forecasts than “year of AGI” much more.
For example: in time where we get “AGI” (according to your definition) … how large fraction of GDP are AI companies? … how big is AI as a political topic? … what does the public think?
I’m currently thinking about questions including “how big is AI as a political topic” and “what does the public think”; any recommended reading?