I strongly recommend you add more of these posts to the Forum—in particular, I really like the post on ways that cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading.
Thanks. I think I’m afraid to publish posts if I’m unsure they are good/useful. But I will consider publishing some these, especially ways that cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading.
Yes, it made me a bit more willing to post here. But I put another week of work into that post before publishing. And I worked 2 more days on that post that I posted a couple of days ago which is also from my blog. I’m sure that some other posts from that blog are worth publishing after I put more work into them but I’m unsure if this is what I should be spending my time on. E.g., I don’t want to post Cost-effectiveness of trap-neuter-return programs for cats on the EA forum without doing more to make sure it’s correct (e.g. reading recent related research by other EAs). I’m unsure if I want to post Should you donate to a fund-raising meta-charity? without looking into the current situation of these charities (e.g. if there is room for more funding) and just generally thinking more about the topic. I guess it would be fine to still post it with a disclaimer but I would be afraid of giving people the wrong advice and also hurting my credibility. And I don’t think posting it on the shortform would make much impact but I’d still care about saying the right things so I don’t want to bother with that.
I found saulius’ post useful in different ways than Chris Smith’s. I especially like that it covers mistakes that seem more “basic” and easier to avoid/correct for. But “The Optimizer’s Curse” is also worth looking at.
I strongly recommend you add more of these posts to the Forum—in particular, I really like the post on ways that cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading.
Thanks. I think I’m afraid to publish posts if I’m unsure they are good/useful. But I will consider publishing some these, especially ways that cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading.
[8 months on] …well, that went very well, haha. I believe it’s now got the 8th most karma on the forum.
Has this updated you to being more willing to post on the forum?
Also, for ones that you’re still not sure are worth posting, have you considered posting them as shortforms?
Yes, it made me a bit more willing to post here. But I put another week of work into that post before publishing. And I worked 2 more days on that post that I posted a couple of days ago which is also from my blog. I’m sure that some other posts from that blog are worth publishing after I put more work into them but I’m unsure if this is what I should be spending my time on. E.g., I don’t want to post Cost-effectiveness of trap-neuter-return programs for cats on the EA forum without doing more to make sure it’s correct (e.g. reading recent related research by other EAs). I’m unsure if I want to post Should you donate to a fund-raising meta-charity? without looking into the current situation of these charities (e.g. if there is room for more funding) and just generally thinking more about the topic. I guess it would be fine to still post it with a disclaimer but I would be afraid of giving people the wrong advice and also hurting my credibility. And I don’t think posting it on the shortform would make much impact but I’d still care about saying the right things so I don’t want to bother with that.
cf. The Optimizer’s Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
I found saulius’ post useful in different ways than Chris Smith’s. I especially like that it covers mistakes that seem more “basic” and easier to avoid/correct for. But “The Optimizer’s Curse” is also worth looking at.