summary: have an app that helps people decide whether they shouldn’t go to work
context: in the last 12 hours I spent maybe about 2 hours ‘empowering’ someone I know by giving them more information to help them decide whether they should take sick days
problem: knowing what’s the probability one’s infected (by the coronavirus) helps informing them about whether they should avoid going to work. the probability beyond which you should stay home is not the same for each type of job. at what point should one not go to work?
the 2 main sub questions are:
what’s the probability that I’m infected?
there are already forms that sort of do that ex.: https://covid19.empego.ca/#/, but I would prefer a more probabilistic approach with more detailed input
if I’m infected, what damage am I likely to cause, in expectation? how many people am I meeting at work? how many confirmed cases are in my city? etc.
there’s an app made by EAs that might get released in the coming days that address a similar question
for example: Someone told me: my partner was coughing, had a sore throat, and had X fever during the whole day, but is now feeling better; yesterday ze was okay, and we slept together, but I haven’t seen zir since then. ze wasn’t outside the country recently, and hasn’t met anyone infected as far as ze knows. ze lives in city Y which has Z cases.
there could also be intermediary recommendations (maybe?): go to work, but take the following precautions:
wear a mask
avoid meetings
etc.
addendum: in countries that don’t have a monetary incentives for people to self-quarantine, there will be a negative externality not captured. but the tool should still improve decision making.
Coronavirus: Should I go to work?
UPDATE: An EA project I’m part of might do this
summary: have an app that helps people decide whether they shouldn’t go to work
context: in the last 12 hours I spent maybe about 2 hours ‘empowering’ someone I know by giving them more information to help them decide whether they should take sick days
problem: knowing what’s the probability one’s infected (by the coronavirus) helps informing them about whether they should avoid going to work. the probability beyond which you should stay home is not the same for each type of job. at what point should one not go to work?
the 2 main sub questions are:
what’s the probability that I’m infected?
there are already forms that sort of do that ex.: https://covid19.empego.ca/#/, but I would prefer a more probabilistic approach with more detailed input
if I’m infected, what damage am I likely to cause, in expectation? how many people am I meeting at work? how many confirmed cases are in my city? etc.
there’s an app made by EAs that might get released in the coming days that address a similar question
for example: Someone told me: my partner was coughing, had a sore throat, and had X fever during the whole day, but is now feeling better; yesterday ze was okay, and we slept together, but I haven’t seen zir since then. ze wasn’t outside the country recently, and hasn’t met anyone infected as far as ze knows. ze lives in city Y which has Z cases.
there could also be intermediary recommendations (maybe?): go to work, but take the following precautions:
wear a mask
avoid meetings
etc.
addendum: in countries that don’t have a monetary incentives for people to self-quarantine, there will be a negative externality not captured. but the tool should still improve decision making.