Yes, the upshot from that piece is “eh”. I think there are some plausible XR-minded arguments in favor of economic growth, but I don’t find them overly compelling.
In practice, I think the particulars matter a lot. If you were to say, make progress on a cost-effective malaria vaccine, it’s hard to argue that it’ll end up bringing about superintelligence in the next couple decades. But it depends on your time scale. If you think AI is more on a 100 year time horizon, there might be more reason to be worried about growth.
R.e. DTD, I think it depends way more than EA/XR people tend to think on global coordination.
Hey sorry for the late reply, I missed this.
Yes, the upshot from that piece is “eh”. I think there are some plausible XR-minded arguments in favor of economic growth, but I don’t find them overly compelling.
In practice, I think the particulars matter a lot. If you were to say, make progress on a cost-effective malaria vaccine, it’s hard to argue that it’ll end up bringing about superintelligence in the next couple decades. But it depends on your time scale. If you think AI is more on a 100 year time horizon, there might be more reason to be worried about growth.
R.e. DTD, I think it depends way more than EA/XR people tend to think on global coordination.