You have a philosopher’s instinct to reach for the most extreme example, but in general I recommend against that.
There’s a pretty simple counterfactual: don’t take or promote the pledge.
Haven’t you just chosen precisely the most extreme counterfactual? Now you have to defend the view that Giving What We Can, run by very smart people who test what they’re doing, is causing net harm in expectation.
You have a philosopher’s instinct to reach for the most extreme example, but in general I recommend against that.
There’s a pretty simple counterfactual: don’t take or promote the pledge.
Haven’t you just chosen precisely the most extreme counterfactual? Now you have to defend the view that Giving What We Can, run by very smart people who test what they’re doing, is causing net harm in expectation.