Now I think we are on the same page. Nice! I agree that this is weak bayesian evidence for the reason you mention; if the experiment had discovered that one artificial neuron could adequately simulate one biological neuron, that would basically put an upper bound on things for purposes of the bio anchors framework (cutting off approximately the top half of Ajeya’s distribution over required size of artificial neural net). Instead they found that you need thousands. But (I would say) this is only weak evidence because prior to hearing about this experiment I would have predicted that it would be difficult to accurately simulate a neuron, just as it’s difficult to accurately simulate a falling leaf. Pretty much everything that happens in biology is complicated and hard to simulate.
Now I think we are on the same page. Nice! I agree that this is weak bayesian evidence for the reason you mention; if the experiment had discovered that one artificial neuron could adequately simulate one biological neuron, that would basically put an upper bound on things for purposes of the bio anchors framework (cutting off approximately the top half of Ajeya’s distribution over required size of artificial neural net). Instead they found that you need thousands. But (I would say) this is only weak evidence because prior to hearing about this experiment I would have predicted that it would be difficult to accurately simulate a neuron, just as it’s difficult to accurately simulate a falling leaf. Pretty much everything that happens in biology is complicated and hard to simulate.