This is a total nerd-snipe, but I feel like I’m missing information about how strong selection effects are (i.e., did only people sympathetic to AI safety answer the survey? Was it only sent to people within those organizations who are sympathetic?)
That said, I’m guessing an average of around 20% for both questions, both widely spread. For instance, one could have 15% for the first question and 30% for the second question. I’ll be surprised if either question is sub-10% or above 60%.
Time taken to think about this: Less than half an hour. I tried to divide this organization by organization, but then realized uncertainties about respondent affiliation were too wide for that to be very meaningful.
This is a total nerd-snipe, but I feel like I’m missing information about how strong selection effects are (i.e., did only people sympathetic to AI safety answer the survey? Was it only sent to people within those organizations who are sympathetic?)
That said, I’m guessing an average of around 20% for both questions, both widely spread. For instance, one could have 15% for the first question and 30% for the second question. I’ll be surprised if either question is sub-10% or above 60%.
Time taken to think about this: Less than half an hour. I tried to divide this organization by organization, but then realized uncertainties about respondent affiliation were too wide for that to be very meaningful.