Note that tools like Causal and Guesstimate make including uncertainty pretty easy and transparent.
I really think there’s a lot of value in just scratching something rough out on a sticky note during a conversation to e.g. see if a premise that’s being entertained is worth the time
I agree, but making uncertainty explicit makes it even better. (And I think it’s an important epistemic/numeracy thing to cultivate and encourage). So I think if you are giving a workshop you should make this part of it at least to some extent.
Note that tools like Causal and Guesstimate make including uncertainty pretty easy and transparent.
I agree, but making uncertainty explicit makes it even better. (And I think it’s an important epistemic/numeracy thing to cultivate and encourage). So I think if you are giving a workshop you should make this part of it at least to some extent.