lockdowns is most likely correlated with increased deaths [since...] decisionmakers will most likely only issue lockdowns if it looks like the number of deaths would be sufficiently high
That is a really interesting illustration of the general causality =/= conditionality issue I mention in the post (and which Harrison elaborates on), thank you!
I agree that the generalization—the fact that a decision is made reveals currently unavailable information—is the key point, here, and Harrison’s interpretation seems like a reasonable and strong version or manifestation of the issue.
That is a really interesting illustration of the general causality =/= conditionality issue I mention in the post (and which Harrison elaborates on), thank you!
I agree that the generalization—the fact that a decision is made reveals currently unavailable information—is the key point, here, and Harrison’s interpretation seems like a reasonable and strong version or manifestation of the issue.