As I noted on the nuclear post, I believe this is based on a (loosely speaking) person-affecting view (mentioned in Joel and Ben’s back-and-forth below). That seems likely to me to bias the cost-effectiveness downward.
Like Fin, I’m very surprised by how well this performs given takes in other places (e.g. The Precipice) on how asteroid prevention compares to other x-risk work.
As I noted on the nuclear post, I believe this is based on a (loosely speaking) person-affecting view (mentioned in Joel and Ben’s back-and-forth below). That seems likely to me to bias the cost-effectiveness downward.
Like Fin, I’m very surprised by how well this performs given takes in other places (e.g. The Precipice) on how asteroid prevention compares to other x-risk work.