Maybe the biggest thing is that I got much more worried about AI risk over the last year. Cliche in this crowd, but you guys got me, I wasn’t expecting it, and I’m not thrilled about it. I went into the year sort of assuming we had about a century and that Stuart Russell had plausibly solved the technical side (in theory at least), I left (not so much because of actual developments in AI, as Yudkowsky’s dramatizing motivating me to do my homework on the field in the way I hadn’t before) thinking we probably have less than 50 years, and Russell is probably wrong even on the broad strokes. I don’t know whether this will cause me to donate directly to AI work or not (I don’t have a good sense of where the best place to donate is, and much of the broader community work seems meta in ways I’m skeptical of), but it’s probably the biggest, most relevant update of my own views this year.
Also more related to the content of this post I’m looking at Strong Minds very seriously. I was aware of them and liked there work before, but this year have been convinced that they are unusually underrated by major granters in the field.
Maybe the biggest thing is that I got much more worried about AI risk over the last year. Cliche in this crowd, but you guys got me, I wasn’t expecting it, and I’m not thrilled about it. I went into the year sort of assuming we had about a century and that Stuart Russell had plausibly solved the technical side (in theory at least), I left (not so much because of actual developments in AI, as Yudkowsky’s dramatizing motivating me to do my homework on the field in the way I hadn’t before) thinking we probably have less than 50 years, and Russell is probably wrong even on the broad strokes. I don’t know whether this will cause me to donate directly to AI work or not (I don’t have a good sense of where the best place to donate is, and much of the broader community work seems meta in ways I’m skeptical of), but it’s probably the biggest, most relevant update of my own views this year.
Also more related to the content of this post I’m looking at Strong Minds very seriously. I was aware of them and liked there work before, but this year have been convinced that they are unusually underrated by major granters in the field.