Another consideration might be that if you expect this research technology to be developed but had not taken that into consideration for estimating your impact, you may be underestimating the likelihood that someone else would do that same research before tapp anyway since if the research becomes easier, others are more likely to do it. You could be overestimating your counterfactual impact.
Another consideration might be that if you expect this research technology to be developed but had not taken that into consideration for estimating your impact, you may be underestimating the likelihood that someone else would do that same research before tapp anyway since if the research becomes easier, others are more likely to do it. You could be overestimating your counterfactual impact.