I also drew some pathways to impact for QURI itself and for software, but I’m significantly less satisfied with them.
Software
I thought that the software pathway was fairly abstract, so here would be something like my approximation of why Metaforecast is or could be valuable.
QURI itself
Note that QURI’s pathway would just be the pathway of the individual actions we take around forecasting, evaluations, research and software, plus maybe some adjustment for e.g., mentorship, coordination power, helping funding, etc.
I also drew some pathways to impact for QURI itself and for software, but I’m significantly less satisfied with them.
Software
I thought that the software pathway was fairly abstract, so here would be something like my approximation of why Metaforecast is or could be valuable.
QURI itself
Note that QURI’s pathway would just be the pathway of the individual actions we take around forecasting, evaluations, research and software, plus maybe some adjustment for e.g., mentorship, coordination power, helping funding, etc.
I think the QURI one is a good pass, though if I were to make it, I’d change a few details of course.