Do you think that asking the same respondents about 50 years, 100 years, and 500 years caused them to scale their answers so that they would be reasonable in relation to each other? Put another way, do you think you would have gotten significantly different answers if you had asked 395 people about 50 years, 395 people about 100 years, and 395 people about 500 years (c.f. scope insensitivity)?
That can be tested on these data, just by looking at the first of the 3 questions that each participant got, since the post says that “Participants were asked about the likelihood of humans going extinct in 50, 100, and 500 years (presented in a random order).”
I expect that there was a fair amount of scope insensitivity. e.g., That people who got the “probability of extinction within 50 years” question first gave larger answers to the other questions than people who got the “probability of extinction within 500 years” question first.
Do you think that asking the same respondents about 50 years, 100 years, and 500 years caused them to scale their answers so that they would be reasonable in relation to each other? Put another way, do you think you would have gotten significantly different answers if you had asked 395 people about 50 years, 395 people about 100 years, and 395 people about 500 years (c.f. scope insensitivity)?
That can be tested on these data, just by looking at the first of the 3 questions that each participant got, since the post says that “Participants were asked about the likelihood of humans going extinct in 50, 100, and 500 years (presented in a random order).”
I expect that there was a fair amount of scope insensitivity. e.g., That people who got the “probability of extinction within 50 years” question first gave larger answers to the other questions than people who got the “probability of extinction within 500 years” question first.
Do you know if this platform allows participants to go back? (I assumed it did, which is why I thought a separate study would be necessary.)