I think that bare terms like “unpredictability” or particularly “uncertainty” are much too weak; they don’t properly convey the degree of epistemic challenge, and hence don’t pick out what’s unusual about the problem situation that we’re grappling with.
“Unforseeability” is a bit stronger, but still seems rather too weak. I think “unknowability”, “radical uncertainty”, and “cluelessness” are all in the right ballpark for their connotations.
I do think “unknowability” for (2) and “absolute/total unknowability” for (1) is an interesting alternative. Using “unknowable” rather than “clueless” puts the emphasis on the decision situation rather than the agent; I’m not sure whether that’s better.
Yeah, I agree that one would need to add some adjective (e.g. “total” or “radical”) to several of these.
“Unknowability” sounds good at first glance; I’d need to think about use cases.
I see now that you made the agent-decision situation distinction that I also made above. I do think that “unknowable” putting an emphasis on the decision situation is to its advantage.
I think that bare terms like “unpredictability” or particularly “uncertainty” are much too weak; they don’t properly convey the degree of epistemic challenge, and hence don’t pick out what’s unusual about the problem situation that we’re grappling with.
“Unforseeability” is a bit stronger, but still seems rather too weak. I think “unknowability”, “radical uncertainty”, and “cluelessness” are all in the right ballpark for their connotations.
I do think “unknowability” for (2) and “absolute/total unknowability” for (1) is an interesting alternative. Using “unknowable” rather than “clueless” puts the emphasis on the decision situation rather than the agent; I’m not sure whether that’s better.
Yeah, I agree that one would need to add some adjective (e.g. “total” or “radical”) to several of these.
“Unknowability” sounds good at first glance; I’d need to think about use cases.
I see now that you made the agent-decision situation distinction that I also made above. I do think that “unknowable” putting an emphasis on the decision situation is to its advantage.