On the first part: The main problem that I’m worried about it’s not that the terminology is different (most of these questions use fairly basic terminology so far), but rather that there is no order to all the questions. This means that readers have very little clue what kinds of things are forecasted.
Wikidata does a good job of having a semantic structure where if you want any type of fact, you could know where to look. Compare this page of Barack Obama, to a long list of facts, some about Obama, some about Obama and one or two other people, all somewhat randomly written and ordered. See the semantic web or discussion on web ontologies for more on this subject.
I expect that questions will eventually follow a much more semantic structure, and correspondingly, there will be far more questions at some points in the future.
These are very different from Metaforecast because they have different features. Metaforecast has thousands of different questions, and allows one to search by them, but it doesn’t show historic data and it doesn’t have curated lists. The dashboards, in comparison, have these features, but are typically limited to a very specific set of questions.
On the first part:
The main problem that I’m worried about it’s not that the terminology is different (most of these questions use fairly basic terminology so far), but rather that there is no order to all the questions. This means that readers have very little clue what kinds of things are forecasted.
Wikidata does a good job of having a semantic structure where if you want any type of fact, you could know where to look. Compare this page of Barack Obama, to a long list of facts, some about Obama, some about Obama and one or two other people, all somewhat randomly written and ordered. See the semantic web or discussion on web ontologies for more on this subject.
I expect that questions will eventually follow a much more semantic structure, and correspondingly, there will be far more questions at some points in the future.
On the second part:
By public dashboards, I mean a rather static webpage that shows one set of questions, but includes the most recent data about them. There’s been a few of these done so far. These are typically optimized for readers, not forecasters.
See:
https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/#1464
https://pandemic.metaculus.com/dashboard#/global-epidemiology
These are very different from Metaforecast because they have different features. Metaforecast has thousands of different questions, and allows one to search by them, but it doesn’t show historic data and it doesn’t have curated lists. The dashboards, in comparison, have these features, but are typically limited to a very specific set of questions.