Despite how promising and scalable we think some biosecurity interventions are, we don’t necessarily think that biosecurity should grow to be a substantially larger fraction of longtermist effort than it is currently.
Agreed that it shouldn’t grow substantially,but ~doubling the share of highly-engaged EAs working on biosecurity feels reasonable to me.
FWIW, I don’t actually know what you mean/believe here and whether it’s different to what the post already said, because:
The post said “fraction of longtermist effort” but you’re saying “share of highly-engaged EAs”. Maybe you’re thinking the increased share should mostly come from highly engaged EAs who aren’t currently focused on longtermist efforts? That could then be consistent with the post.
You said “feels reasonable”, which doesn’t make it clear whether you think this actually should happen, it probably should happen, it’s 10% likely it should happen, it shouldn’t happen but it wouldn’t be unreasonable for it to happen, etc.
I do mean EAs with a longtermist focus. While writing about highly-engaged EAs, I had Benjamin Todd’s EAG talk in mind, in which he pointed out that only around 4% of highly-engaged EAs are working in bio.
And thanks for pointing out I should be more precise. To qualify my statement, I’m 75% confident that this should happen.
Agreed that it shouldn’t grow substantially, but ~doubling the share of highly-engaged EAs working on biosecurity feels reasonable to me.
FWIW, I don’t actually know what you mean/believe here and whether it’s different to what the post already said, because:
The post said “fraction of longtermist effort” but you’re saying “share of highly-engaged EAs”. Maybe you’re thinking the increased share should mostly come from highly engaged EAs who aren’t currently focused on longtermist efforts? That could then be consistent with the post.
You said “feels reasonable”, which doesn’t make it clear whether you think this actually should happen, it probably should happen, it’s 10% likely it should happen, it shouldn’t happen but it wouldn’t be unreasonable for it to happen, etc.
I do mean EAs with a longtermist focus. While writing about highly-engaged EAs, I had Benjamin Todd’s EAG talk in mind, in which he pointed out that only around 4% of highly-engaged EAs are working in bio.
And thanks for pointing out I should be more precise. To qualify my statement, I’m 75% confident that this should happen.