Thanks for clarifying! I wonder if it would be even better if the review was done by people outside the EA community. Maybe the sympathy of belonging to the same social group and shared, distinctive assumptions (assuming they exist), make people less likely to spot errors? This is pretty speculative, but wouldn’t surprise me
I can’t immediately remember where I’ve seen this discussed before, but I concerned I’ve heard raised is that’s it’s quite hard to find people who (1) know enough about what you’re doing to evaluate your work but (2) are not already in the EA world.
I see, interesting! This might be a silly idea, but what do you think about setting up a competition where there is a cash-prize of a few thousand dollars for the person who spots an important mistake? If you manage to attract the attention of a lot of phd students in the relevant area, you might really get a lot of competent people trying hard to find your mistakes.
Hmm. Well, I think you’d have to be quite a big and well funded organisation to do that. It would be a lot of management time to set up and run a competition, one which wouldn’t obviously be that useful (in terms of the value of information, such a competition is more valuable the worse you think your research is). I can see organisations quite reasonably thinking this wouldn’t be a good staff priority vs other things. I’d be interested to know if this has happened elsewhere and how impactful it had been.
>> Maybe that would be weird for some people. I would be surprised though if the majority of people wouldn’t interpret a positive expert review as a signal that your research is trustworthy (even if its not actually a signal because you chose and paid that expert).
That’s right. People who were suspicious of your research would be unlikely to have much confidence in the assessment of someone you paid.
I can’t immediately remember where I’ve seen this discussed before, but I concerned I’ve heard raised is that’s it’s quite hard to find people who (1) know enough about what you’re doing to evaluate your work but (2) are not already in the EA world.
Hmm. Well, I think you’d have to be quite a big and well funded organisation to do that. It would be a lot of management time to set up and run a competition, one which wouldn’t obviously be that useful (in terms of the value of information, such a competition is more valuable the worse you think your research is). I can see organisations quite reasonably thinking this wouldn’t be a good staff priority vs other things. I’d be interested to know if this has happened elsewhere and how impactful it had been.
That’s right. People who were suspicious of your research would be unlikely to have much confidence in the assessment of someone you paid.