Also, nitpick, but I find the “inside view” a more confusing and jargony way of just saying “independent impressions” (okay, also jargon to some extent, but closer to plain English), which also avoids the problem you point out: inside view is not the opposite of the Tetlockian sense of outside view (and the other ambiguities with outside view that another commenter pointed out).
The complaint that it’s confusing jargon is fair. Though I do think the Tetlock sense + phrase inside view captures something important—my inside view is what feels true to me, according to my personal best guess and internal impressions. Deferring doesn’t feel true in the same way, it feels like I’m overriding my beliefs, not like how they world is.
This mostly comes under the motivation point—maybe, for motivation, inside views matter but independent impressions don’t? And people differ on how they feel about the two?
I’m still confused about the distinction you have in mind between inside view and independent impression (which also have the property that they feel true to me)?
Or do you have no distinction in mind, but just think that the phrase “inside view” captures the sentiment better?
Also, nitpick, but I find the “inside view” a more confusing and jargony way of just saying “independent impressions” (okay, also jargon to some extent, but closer to plain English), which also avoids the problem you point out: inside view is not the opposite of the Tetlockian sense of outside view (and the other ambiguities with outside view that another commenter pointed out).
The complaint that it’s confusing jargon is fair. Though I do think the Tetlock sense + phrase inside view captures something important—my inside view is what feels true to me, according to my personal best guess and internal impressions. Deferring doesn’t feel true in the same way, it feels like I’m overriding my beliefs, not like how they world is.
This mostly comes under the motivation point—maybe, for motivation, inside views matter but independent impressions don’t? And people differ on how they feel about the two?
I’m still confused about the distinction you have in mind between inside view and independent impression (which also have the property that they feel true to me)?
Or do you have no distinction in mind, but just think that the phrase “inside view” captures the sentiment better?
Inside view feels deeply emotional and tied to how I feel the world to be, independent impression feels cold and abstract