(Just want to say that I did find it a bit odd that Ben’s post didn’t mention timelines to transformative AI—or other sources of “hingeyness”—as a consideration, and I appreciate you raising it here. Overall, my timelines are longer than yours, and I’d guess we should be spending less than 10% per year, but it does seem a crucial consideration for many points discussed in the post.)
(Just want to say that I did find it a bit odd that Ben’s post didn’t mention timelines to transformative AI—or other sources of “hingeyness”—as a consideration, and I appreciate you raising it here. Overall, my timelines are longer than yours, and I’d guess we should be spending less than 10% per year, but it does seem a crucial consideration for many points discussed in the post.)