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Rationality

TagLast edit: 5 May 2021 15:18 UTC by Leo

Use the Rationality tag for posts about trying to think more clearly in general (not just about a particular cause, intervention, etc.)

This tag can cover personal rationality (e.g. making better decisions or predictions) as well as group or movement-level rationality (e.g. how the EA movement can do a better job of estimating the cost-effectiveness of an intervention).

Related entries

cognitive bias

Scope Insensitivity

EA Handbook13 May 2007 23:08 UTC
36 points
1 comment2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

What is ev­i­dence?

EliezerYudkowsky22 Sep 2007 4:09 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

The Cog­ni­tive Science of Rationality

lukeprog12 Sep 2011 10:35 UTC
14 points
3 comments14 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Why I’m skep­ti­cal about un­proven causes (and you should be too)

Peter Wildeford7 Aug 2013 4:00 UTC
48 points
0 comments11 min readEA link

How might we be wildly wrong?

William_MacAskill4 Sep 2013 19:19 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

How to treat prob­lems of un­known difficulty

Owen Cotton-Barratt30 Jul 2014 2:57 UTC
18 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

Why we should err in both directions

Owen Cotton-Barratt21 Aug 2014 2:23 UTC
15 points
0 comments6 min readEA link

Es­ti­ma­tion Is the Best We Have

Introduction9 Sep 2014 16:15 UTC
9 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Six Ways To Get Along With Peo­ple Who Are To­tally Wrong*

Robert_Wiblin24 Feb 2015 12:41 UTC
170 points
29 comments5 min readEA link

How best to ag­gre­gate judge­ments about dona­tions?

Gregory Lewis12 Apr 2015 4:19 UTC
5 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Mak­ing be­liefs pay rent

EliezerYudkowsky16 Jun 2015 23:00 UTC
11 points
6 comments4 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Why effec­tive al­tru­ism used to be like ev­i­dence-based medicine. But isn’t anymore

JamesSnowden12 Aug 2015 15:13 UTC
29 points
16 comments1 min readEA link

Matt Fal­lshaw: Ra­tion­al­ity I

EA Global28 Aug 2015 15:25 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Ben Hoff­man: Ra­tion­al­ity II

EA Global28 Aug 2015 15:37 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Jess Whit­tle­stone: Ra­tion­al­ity and effec­tive altruism

EA Global28 Aug 2015 17:21 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Be­ware sur­pris­ing and sus­pi­cious convergence

Gregory Lewis24 Jan 2016 19:11 UTC
211 points
20 comments15 min readEA link

“En­ti­tle­ment to be­lieve” is lack­ing in Effec­tive Altru­ism (by An­drew Critch)

ricoh_aficio5 Jul 2016 0:06 UTC
14 points
0 comments6 min readEA link

Se­quence think­ing vs. cluster thinking

GiveWell25 Jul 2016 10:43 UTC
17 points
0 comments28 min readEA link
(blog.givewell.org)

A tech­ni­cal note: Bayesi­anism is not logic, statis­tics is not rationality

jonathanstray6 Sep 2016 15:47 UTC
1 point
7 comments1 min readEA link

Efforts to Im­prove the Ac­cu­racy of Our Judg­ments and Fore­casts (Open Philan­thropy)

lukeprog25 Oct 2016 10:09 UTC
19 points
0 comments7 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

Us­ing a Spread­sheet to Make Good De­ci­sions: Five Examples

Peter Wildeford26 Nov 2016 2:21 UTC
81 points
6 comments8 min readEA link

What if you’re work­ing on the wrong cause? Pre­limi­nary thoughts on how long to spend ex­plor­ing vs ex­ploit­ing.

Kat Woods6 Feb 2017 22:13 UTC
33 points
4 comments21 min readEA link

‘Cru­cial Con­sid­er­a­tions and Wise Philan­thropy’, by Nick Bostrom

Pablo17 Mar 2017 6:48 UTC
30 points
4 comments24 min readEA link
(www.stafforini.com)

Dun­can Sa­bien: Con­vinced, not con­vinc­ing (Bos­ton)

EA Global2 Jun 2017 8:48 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

In defence of epistemic modesty

Gregory Lewis29 Oct 2017 19:15 UTC
139 points
51 comments37 min readEA link

Gre­gory Lewis and Oliver Habryka: Trust­ing experts

EA Global8 Jun 2018 7:15 UTC
17 points
0 comments39 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Dun­can Sa­bien: Man­age your per­sonal autopilot

EA Global8 Jun 2018 7:15 UTC
10 points
0 comments26 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The Righ­teous Mind book review

Justis5 Sep 2018 18:08 UTC
34 points
2 comments7 min readEA link

De­bate and Effec­tive Altru­ism: Friends or Foes?

TenaThau10 Nov 2018 18:33 UTC
33 points
7 comments7 min readEA link

Ra­tion­al­ity vs. Ra­tion­al­iza­tion: Reflect­ing on mo­ti­vated beliefs

alexlintz26 Nov 2018 5:39 UTC
31 points
2 comments4 min readEA link

How to Un­der­stand and Miti­gate Risk (Cross­post from LessWrong)

Halffull12 Mar 2019 10:24 UTC
17 points
7 comments16 min readEA link

The Tur­ing Test pod­cast #8: Spencer Greenberg

Holly_Elmore13 May 2019 15:30 UTC
24 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

In­tegrity and ac­countabil­ity are core parts of ra­tio­nal­ity [LW-Cross­post]

Habryka23 Jul 2019 0:14 UTC
58 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

De­liber­a­tion May Im­prove De­ci­sion-Making

Neil_Dullaghan5 Nov 2019 0:34 UTC
65 points
12 comments43 min readEA link

How to come to bet­ter con­clu­sions by play­ing steel­man solitaire

Kat Woods13 Nov 2019 13:00 UTC
35 points
4 comments5 min readEA link

[Link] We run the Cen­ter for Ap­plied Ra­tion­al­ity, AMA

Adam_Scholl20 Dec 2019 9:51 UTC
27 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Learn­ing to ask ac­tion-rele­vant questions

Ronja_Lutz28 Dec 2019 19:26 UTC
34 points
8 comments7 min readEA link

Po­ten­tial down­sides of us­ing ex­plicit probabilities

MichaelA20 Jan 2020 2:14 UTC
57 points
22 comments18 min readEA link

Epistea Sum­mer Ex­per­i­ment (ESE)

nora24 Jan 2020 10:51 UTC
23 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

I knew a bit about mis­in­for­ma­tion and fact-check­ing in 2017. AMA, if you’re re­ally des­per­ate.

MichaelA11 May 2020 9:35 UTC
20 points
17 comments2 min readEA link

Some thoughts on defer­ence and in­side-view models

Buck28 May 2020 5:37 UTC
133 points
31 comments10 min readEA link

Heuris­tics for clue­less agents: how to get away with ig­nor­ing what mat­ters most in or­di­nary de­ci­sion-making

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2020 13:35 UTC
4 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Ex­pected value un­der nor­ma­tive uncertainty

Gordon Seidoh Worley8 Jun 2020 15:45 UTC
16 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(philpapers.org)

How to change minds

abergal11 Jun 2020 10:15 UTC
32 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Joey Savoie: Tools for de­ci­sion making

EA Global13 Jun 2020 8:12 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

[Question] Im­pacts of ra­tio­nal fic­tion?

vn25624 Jun 2020 16:25 UTC
29 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

Use re­silience, in­stead of im­pre­ci­sion, to com­mu­ni­cate uncertainty

Gregory Lewis18 Jul 2020 12:09 UTC
103 points
34 comments7 min readEA link

Del­e­gate a forecast

amandango26 Jul 2020 5:05 UTC
42 points
42 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] What are some low-in­for­ma­tion pri­ors that you find prac­ti­cally use­ful for think­ing about the world?

Linch7 Aug 2020 4:38 UTC
63 points
31 comments1 min readEA link

“Good judge­ment” and its components

Owen Cotton-Barratt19 Aug 2020 23:30 UTC
63 points
11 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] How can good gen­er­al­ist judg­ment be differ­en­ti­ated from skill at fore­cast­ing?

Linch21 Aug 2020 23:13 UTC
25 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

How to think about an un­cer­tain fu­ture: les­sons from other sec­tors & mis­takes of longter­mist EAs

weeatquince5 Sep 2020 12:51 UTC
63 points
31 comments14 min readEA link

Sum­mary of Ev­i­dence, De­ci­sion, and Causality

Dawn Drescher5 Sep 2020 20:23 UTC
27 points
0 comments43 min readEA link
(impartial-priorities.org)

New book: Mo­ral Uncer­tainty by MacAskill, Ord & Bykvist

frankieaw10 Sep 2020 16:22 UTC
85 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Judge­ment as a key need in EA

Benjamin_Todd12 Sep 2020 14:48 UTC
30 points
16 comments1 min readEA link

Hedg­ing against deep and moral uncertainty

MichaelStJules12 Sep 2020 23:44 UTC
83 points
13 comments9 min readEA link

Take care with no­ta­tion for un­cer­tain quantities

Gregory Lewis16 Sep 2020 19:26 UTC
39 points
2 comments5 min readEA link

Ex­pected value the­ory is fa­nat­i­cal, but that’s a good thing

HaydenW21 Sep 2020 8:48 UTC
57 points
20 comments5 min readEA link

[Out­dated] In­tro­duc­ing the Stock Is­sues Frame­work: The INT Frame­work’s Cousin and an “Ad­vanced” Cost-Benefit Anal­y­sis Framework

Harrison Durland3 Oct 2020 7:18 UTC
14 points
0 comments8 min readEA link

Log­i­cal Foun­da­tions of Govern­ment Policy

FCCC10 Oct 2020 16:11 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Univer­sal cost-effec­tive­ness calculator

brb24311 Oct 2020 13:54 UTC
22 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Link] “Where are all the suc­cess­ful ra­tio­nal­ists?”

Milan_Griffes17 Oct 2020 19:59 UTC
32 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

Spencer Green­berg: De­ci­sion-mak­ing work­shop — learn how to make bet­ter decisions

EA Global25 Oct 2020 5:48 UTC
11 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

David Man­ley: De­cou­pling — a tech­nique for re­duc­ing bias

EA Global25 Oct 2020 6:56 UTC
7 points
0 comments13 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

David Man­ley: Gen­tle Bayesian updating

EA Global25 Oct 2020 6:56 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

LessWrong is now a book, available for pre-or­der!

jacobjacob4 Dec 2020 20:42 UTC
48 points
1 comment10 min readEA link

[Question] How might bet­ter col­lec­tive de­ci­sion-mak­ing back­fire?

Dawn Drescher13 Dec 2020 11:44 UTC
37 points
20 comments2 min readEA link

CFAR Work­shop in Hindsight

markov_user13 Dec 2020 16:18 UTC
45 points
3 comments11 min readEA link

The be­havi­oural sci­ence of donat­ing to char­ity: Why we some­times fail to do the most good we can, and what can be done about it

JulianHazell23 Dec 2020 0:23 UTC
8 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(www.givingwhatwecan.org)

Im­prov­ing In­sti­tu­tional De­ci­sion-Mak­ing: a new work­ing group

IanDavidMoss28 Dec 2020 5:47 UTC
153 points
24 comments10 min readEA link

Even Allo­ca­tion Strat­egy un­der High Model Ambiguity

MichaelStJules31 Dec 2020 9:10 UTC
15 points
3 comments3 min readEA link

One’s Fu­ture Be­hav­ior as a Do­main of Calibration

markov_user31 Dec 2020 15:48 UTC
17 points
8 comments10 min readEA link

The ques­tion of ev­i­dence (Clearer Think­ing)

EA Handbook1 Jan 2021 11:46 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Web of virtue the­sis [re­search note]

Owen Cotton-Barratt1 Jan 2021 16:21 UTC
56 points
1 comment9 min readEA link

10 Habits I recom­mend (2020)

Michelle_Hutchinson2 Jan 2021 17:15 UTC
90 points
17 comments3 min readEA link

Ret­ro­spec­tive on Teach­ing Ra­tion­al­ity Workshops

Neel Nanda3 Jan 2021 17:15 UTC
41 points
9 comments30 min readEA link

Hilary Greaves: The col­lec­tivist cri­tique of the EA movement

Aaron Gertler19 Jan 2021 13:18 UTC
35 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(users.ox.ac.uk)

No, it’s not the in­cen­tives — it’s you

Aaron Gertler25 Jan 2021 6:50 UTC
26 points
1 comment4 min readEA link
(www.talyarkoni.org)

Defer­ence for Bayesians

John G. Halstead13 Feb 2021 12:33 UTC
101 points
29 comments7 min readEA link

Ra­tional al­tru­ism and risk aversion

Stijn17 Feb 2021 12:33 UTC
12 points
0 comments10 min readEA link

AMA: Ian David Moss, strat­egy con­sul­tant to foun­da­tions and other institutions

IanDavidMoss2 Mar 2021 16:55 UTC
40 points
28 comments1 min readEA link

Lay­man’s Sum­mary of Re­solv­ing Pas­cal­lian De­ci­sion Prob­lems with Stochas­tic Dominance

Ben_West12 Mar 2021 3:51 UTC
44 points
11 comments5 min readEA link

Strong Ev­i­dence is Common

Mark Xu14 Mar 2021 1:19 UTC
50 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(markxu.com)

[Question] Name for the larger EA+ad­ja­cent ecosys­tem?

RyanCarey18 Mar 2021 14:21 UTC
28 points
23 comments1 min readEA link

Some blindspots in ra­tio­nal­ity and effec­tive altruism

Remmelt21 Mar 2021 18:01 UTC
53 points
6 comments13 min readEA link

[3-hour pod­cast] Michael Hue­mer on episte­mol­ogy, metaethics, EA, util­i­tar­i­anism and in­finite ethics

Gus Docker27 Mar 2021 9:04 UTC
30 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

The TUILS/​COILS Frame­work for Im­prov­ing Pro-Con Analysis

Harrison Durland8 Apr 2021 1:37 UTC
11 points
1 comment14 min readEA link

Real­ity has a sur­pris­ing amount of detail

Aaron Gertler11 Apr 2021 21:41 UTC
57 points
0 comments9 min readEA link
(johnsalvatier.org)

Statis­tics for Lazy Peo­ple, Part 2

Hmash14 Apr 2021 12:15 UTC
16 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

On Sleep Pro­cras­ti­na­tion: Go­ing To Bed At A Rea­son­able Hour

emily.fan16 Apr 2021 23:31 UTC
47 points
9 comments8 min readEA link

Dou­ble crux: a strat­egy for mu­tual understanding

Jesse Rothman18 May 2021 23:00 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

[Question] Is there any ev­i­dence that any method of de­bi­as­ing, achiev­ing ra­tio­nal­ity can work or is even pos­si­ble?

zer031 May 2021 3:53 UTC
−15 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Do in­co­her­ent en­tities have stronger rea­son to be­come more co­her­ent than less?

Katja_Grace4 Jul 2021 10:56 UTC
24 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Com­mu­ni­cate your epistemic sta­tus shifts

Stijn14 Jul 2021 14:07 UTC
31 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

De­creas­ing pop­ulism and im­prov­ing democ­racy, ev­i­dence-based policy, and rationality

Hauke Hillebrandt27 Jul 2021 18:14 UTC
47 points
10 comments26 min readEA link

Out­line of Galef’s “Scout Mind­set”

RobBensinger10 Aug 2021 0:18 UTC
94 points
9 comments13 min readEA link

Build­ing my Scout Mind­set: #2

Miranda_Zhang17 Aug 2021 1:14 UTC
17 points
4 comments9 min readEA link

The Scien­tist Mode, the Scout Mind­set and Flashcards

JaimeRV29 Aug 2021 18:56 UTC
7 points
1 comment7 min readEA link

In­de­pen­dent impressions

MichaelA26 Sep 2021 18:43 UTC
153 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

The role of tribes in achiev­ing last­ing im­pact and how to cre­ate them

nora29 Sep 2021 20:48 UTC
69 points
2 comments25 min readEA link

Pod­cast: Krister Bykvist on moral un­cer­tainty, ra­tio­nal­ity, metaethics, AI and fu­ture pop­u­la­tions

Gus Docker21 Oct 2021 15:17 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.utilitarianpodcast.com)

Stan­ley the Uncer­tain [Creative Writ­ing Con­test]

Akash28 Oct 2021 20:12 UTC
33 points
1 comment3 min readEA link

Disagree­ables and Asses­sors: Two In­tel­lec­tual Archetypes

Ozzie Gooen5 Nov 2021 9:01 UTC
91 points
20 comments3 min readEA link

Mo­ral­ity and con­strained max­i­miza­tion, part 1

Joe_Carlsmith22 Dec 2021 8:53 UTC
13 points
0 comments11 min readEA link

Rhetor­i­cal Abus­abil­ity is a Poor Counterargument

Cullen8 Jan 2022 2:11 UTC
66 points
6 comments6 min readEA link

Use Nor­mal Predictions

Jan Christian Refsgaard9 Jan 2022 17:52 UTC
12 points
1 comment6 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Mo­ral­ity and con­strained max­i­miza­tion, part 2

Joe_Carlsmith12 Jan 2022 1:49 UTC
9 points
0 comments25 min readEA link

Low-Com­mit­ment Less Wrong Book (EG Ar­ti­cle) Club

Jeremy10 Feb 2022 15:25 UTC
39 points
24 comments1 min readEA link

Col­lec­tion of defi­ni­tions of “good judge­ment”

MichaelA14 Mar 2022 14:14 UTC
31 points
1 comment12 min readEA link

Epistemic Legibility

Elizabeth21 Mar 2022 19:18 UTC
61 points
1 comment20 min readEA link

LW4EA: Shoulder Ad­vi­sors 101

Jeremy29 Mar 2022 3:16 UTC
5 points
3 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Time-Time Tradeoffs

Akash1 Apr 2022 15:29 UTC
61 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

LW4EA: Yes Re­quires the Pos­si­bil­ity of No

Jeremy4 Apr 2022 16:00 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Ra­tional Ed­u­ca­tion as a Cause Pri­or­ity?

Yassin Alaya9 Apr 2022 11:11 UTC
10 points
5 comments6 min readEA link

Cu­rated con­ver­sa­tions with brilli­ant effec­tive altruists

spencerg11 Apr 2022 15:32 UTC
37 points
0 comments22 min readEA link

LW4EA: Can the Chain Still Hold You?

Jeremy12 Apr 2022 18:26 UTC
9 points
2 comments2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

LW4EA: How Much is Your Time Worth?

Jeremy19 Apr 2022 2:03 UTC
9 points
3 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

LW4EA: Philo­soph­i­cal Landmines

Jeremy26 Apr 2022 2:53 UTC
9 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Slack gives you space to no­tice/​re­flect on sub­tle things [Cross­post]

che1 May 2022 22:28 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

LW4EA: How to Not Lose an Argument

Jeremy3 May 2022 2:43 UTC
5 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

An easy win for hard de­ci­sions.

alex lawsen (previously alexrjl)4 May 2022 18:13 UTC
193 points
12 comments3 min readEA link

Be­ware In­visi­ble Mistakes

kuhanj4 May 2022 19:34 UTC
56 points
5 comments3 min readEA link

The COILS Frame­work for De­ci­sion Anal­y­sis: A Short­ened In­tro+Pitch

Harrison Durland7 May 2022 19:01 UTC
16 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

Deferring

Owen Cotton-Barratt12 May 2022 23:44 UTC
101 points
39 comments10 min readEA link

LW4EA: Some cruxes on im­pact­ful al­ter­na­tives to AI policy work

Jeremy17 May 2022 3:05 UTC
11 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

LW4EA: 16 types of use­ful predictions

Jeremy24 May 2022 3:19 UTC
14 points
2 comments2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

LW4EA: How to Be Happy

Jeremy31 May 2022 22:42 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

A Visit to the Idea Ma­chine Fair

Étienne Fortier-Dubois3 Jun 2022 20:08 UTC
38 points
4 comments12 min readEA link
(etiennefd.substack.com)

LW4EA: Sab­bath hard and go home

Jeremy7 Jun 2022 2:46 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Defer­ence Cul­ture in EA

Joey7 Jun 2022 14:21 UTC
146 points
23 comments5 min readEA link

You Don’t Need To Jus­tify Everything

ThomasW12 Jun 2022 18:36 UTC
139 points
11 comments3 min readEA link

LW4EA: Value of In­for­ma­tion: Four Examples

Jeremy14 Jun 2022 2:26 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Don’t Over-Op­ti­mize Things

Owen Cotton-Barratt16 Jun 2022 16:28 UTC
53 points
7 comments4 min readEA link

What I mean by the phrase “tak­ing ideas se­ri­ously”

Luise18 Jun 2022 1:28 UTC
23 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(m.facebook.com)

Have The Effec­tive Altru­ists And Ra­tion­al­ists Brain­washed Me?

UtilityMonster19 Jun 2022 16:05 UTC
0 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

What I mean by the phrase “get­ting in­ti­mate with re­al­ity”

Luise21 Jun 2022 2:53 UTC
28 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(m.facebook.com)

LW4EA: Is Suc­cess the Enemy of Free­dom? (Full)

Jeremy21 Jun 2022 15:07 UTC
5 points
1 comment2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

[Question] Ex­am­ples of some­one ad­mit­ting an er­ror or chang­ing a key conclusion

Lizka27 Jun 2022 15:37 UTC
47 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

Know what you’re op­ti­mis­ing for

alex lawsen (previously alexrjl)29 Jun 2022 14:51 UTC
48 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Limits to Legibility

Jan_Kulveit29 Jun 2022 17:45 UTC
103 points
3 comments5 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Fa­nat­i­cal EAs should sup­port very weird projects

Derek Shiller30 Jun 2022 12:07 UTC
66 points
42 comments9 min readEA link

Units of exchange

EA Handbook30 Jun 2022 23:00 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

How to boost cre­ative thoughts and pre­vent group­think in your organization

Darkness8i82 Jul 2022 11:29 UTC
6 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

[Question] What is the top con­cept that all EAs should un­der­stand?

Nathan Young5 Jul 2022 11:56 UTC
29 points
15 comments1 min readEA link

Per­son-af­fect­ing in­tu­itions can of­ten be money pumped

Rohin Shah7 Jul 2022 12:23 UTC
92 points
69 comments3 min readEA link

Mak­ing de­ci­sions us­ing mul­ti­ple worldviews

richard_ngo13 Jul 2022 19:15 UTC
43 points
0 comments11 min readEA link

A sum­mary of ev­ery “High­lights from the Se­quences” post

Akash15 Jul 2022 23:05 UTC
47 points
3 comments16 min readEA link

Why did I mi­s­un­der­stand util­i­tar­i­anism so badly?

Eleni_A16 Jul 2022 16:36 UTC
18 points
1 comment4 min readEA link

Be­ware Iso­lated De­mands for Ri­gor (Alexan­der, 2014)

Will Aldred18 Jul 2022 11:48 UTC
44 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Ap­pli­ca­tions are open for CFAR work­shops in Prague this fall

John Steidley20 Jul 2022 0:17 UTC
54 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

Why you think you’re right—even when you’re wrong

EA Handbook27 Jul 2022 23:13 UTC
30 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(www.ted.com)

The bot­tom line

EliezerYudkowsky27 Jul 2022 23:13 UTC
10 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

What cog­ni­tive bi­ases feel like from the inside

EA Handbook27 Jul 2022 23:13 UTC
27 points
6 comments5 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

The gap be­tween pres­tige and impact

Adam Binks4 Aug 2022 21:38 UTC
11 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Link-post] Be­ware of Other-Op­ti­miz­ing

Jack R6 Aug 2022 22:57 UTC
12 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

LW4EA: When Money Is Abun­dant, Knowl­edge Is The Real Wealth

Jeremy9 Aug 2022 13:52 UTC
25 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Effec­tive Altru­ism, the Prin­ci­ple of Ex­plo­sion and Epistemic Fragility

Eigengender15 Aug 2022 1:45 UTC
19 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

LW4EA: Epistemic Legibility

Jeremy16 Aug 2022 15:55 UTC
5 points
2 comments3 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

In­tro­duc­tion to Fermi estimates

NunoSempere26 Aug 2022 10:03 UTC
46 points
8 comments6 min readEA link
(nunosempere.com)

The Long Reflec­tion as the Great Stag­na­tion

Larks1 Sep 2022 20:55 UTC
43 points
2 comments8 min readEA link

But what are *your* core val­ues?

Eleni_A3 Sep 2022 13:51 UTC
15 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

How To Ac­tu­ally Succeed

Jordan Arel12 Sep 2022 22:33 UTC
11 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Quan­tified In­tu­itions: An epistemics train­ing web­site in­clud­ing a new EA-themed cal­ibra­tion app

Sage20 Sep 2022 22:25 UTC
86 points
8 comments2 min readEA link

LW4EA: In­cor­rect hy­pothe­ses point to cor­rect observations

Jeremy23 Sep 2022 12:52 UTC
5 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

LW4EA: A game of mattering

Jeremy27 Sep 2022 2:32 UTC
18 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

The Onion Test for Per­sonal and In­sti­tu­tional Honesty

ChanaMessinger27 Sep 2022 15:26 UTC
56 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

Hu­mans aren’t fit­ness maximizers

So8res4 Oct 2022 1:32 UTC
30 points
2 comments5 min readEA link

Against the weird­ness heuris­tic

Eleni_A5 Oct 2022 14:13 UTC
5 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] De­bate with Ra­tional Method­ol­ogy?

Elliot Temple5 Oct 2022 16:52 UTC
1 point
1 comment1 min readEA link

In­visi­ble im­pact loss (and why we can be too er­ror-averse)

Lizka6 Oct 2022 15:08 UTC
129 points
15 comments8 min readEA link

Cal­ibrate—New Chrome Ex­ten­sion for hid­ing num­bers so you can guess

ChanaMessinger7 Oct 2022 11:21 UTC
26 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Does EA have an al­ter­na­tive to ra­tio­nal, writ­ten de­bate method­ol­ogy?

Elliot Temple8 Oct 2022 17:27 UTC
−5 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Epistemics-Im­prov­ing Ac­tivi­ties for Groups and Friends

ChanaMessinger10 Oct 2022 13:11 UTC
45 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

In ex­tremely high-stakes sce­nar­ios, it’s ok not to max­imise ex­pected utility

Pivocajs13 Oct 2022 1:13 UTC
14 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

Scout Mind­set Poster

Anthony Fleming13 Oct 2022 1:53 UTC
52 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How Is EA Ra­tional?

Elliot Temple13 Oct 2022 16:21 UTC
1 point
25 comments1 min readEA link

A com­mon failure for foxes

RobBensinger14 Oct 2022 22:51 UTC
22 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Fal­li­bil­ism, Bias, and the Rule of Law

Elliot Temple17 Oct 2022 23:59 UTC
14 points
6 comments13 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

De­ci­sion the­ory does not im­ply that we get to have nice things

So8res18 Oct 2022 3:04 UTC
36 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Two Guts

ChanaMessinger21 Oct 2022 10:01 UTC
9 points
1 comment4 min readEA link
(chanamessinger.com)

Some frames I liked from Atlas

ChanaMessinger24 Oct 2022 11:20 UTC
14 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

My Ex­pe­rience with My De­bate Policy

Elliot Temple24 Oct 2022 18:21 UTC
11 points
18 comments15 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

Pro­jects that raise san­ity waterline

Radek Matěj28 Oct 2022 19:54 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Multi-Fac­tor De­ci­sion Mak­ing Math

Elliot Temple30 Oct 2022 16:46 UTC
1 point
13 comments37 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

De­bate About Bi­ased Method­ol­ogy | Corentin Biteau and Elliot Temple

Elliot Temple31 Oct 2022 23:40 UTC
7 points
58 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] De­ci­sion mak­ing un­der model am­bi­guity, moral un­cer­tainty, and other agents with free will?

Jobst Heitzig (vodle.it)2 Nov 2022 12:52 UTC
15 points
1 comment8 min readEA link

Up­date your be­liefs with a “Yes/​No de­bate”

jorges3 Nov 2022 0:05 UTC
18 points
4 comments4 min readEA link

A new place to dis­cuss cog­ni­tive sci­ence, ethics and hu­man alignment

Daniel_Friedrich4 Nov 2022 14:34 UTC
9 points
1 comment2 min readEA link
(www.facebook.com)

I Con­verted Book I of The Se­quences Into A Zoomer-Read­able Format

Daniel Kirmani10 Nov 2022 2:59 UTC
33 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Crit­i­cally En­gag­ing with Long Articles

Elliot Temple10 Nov 2022 17:04 UTC
24 points
2 comments11 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

Ra­tion­al­ity Policies

Elliot Temple17 Nov 2022 17:39 UTC
10 points
0 comments16 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

Try­ing to keep my head on straight

ChanaMessinger19 Nov 2022 16:03 UTC
123 points
6 comments6 min readEA link

Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority

Scott Garrabrant22 Nov 2022 17:19 UTC
46 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Im­prov­ing EA with More, Bet­ter De­bates | Recorded Dis­cus­sion be­tween Elliot and Emrik

Elliot Temple22 Nov 2022 21:15 UTC
17 points
2 comments4 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

EA should blurt

RobBensinger22 Nov 2022 21:57 UTC
155 points
26 comments5 min readEA link

Geo­met­ric Ex­plo­ra­tion, Arith­metic Exploitation

Scott Garrabrant24 Nov 2022 15:36 UTC
21 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

The Least Con­tro­ver­sial Ap­pli­ca­tion of Geo­met­ric Rationality

Scott Garrabrant25 Nov 2022 16:50 UTC
16 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Suc­cess Max­i­miza­tion: An Alter­na­tive to Ex­pected Utility The­ory and a Gen­er­al­iza­tion of Max­ipok to Mo­ral Uncertainty

Mahendra Prasad26 Nov 2022 1:53 UTC
13 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

Re­spect­ing your Lo­cal Preferences

Scott Garrabrant26 Nov 2022 19:04 UTC
23 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Geo­met­ric Ra­tion­al­ity is Not VNM Rational

Scott Garrabrant27 Nov 2022 19:36 UTC
44 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Solv­ing for the op­ti­mal work-life bal­ance with ge­o­met­ric rationality

Eric Neyman28 Nov 2022 17:16 UTC
18 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Misquot­ing and Schol­ar­ship Norms

Elliot Temple29 Nov 2022 18:45 UTC
−13 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(curi.us)

Ig­nor­ing “Small” Errors

Elliot Temple1 Dec 2022 16:56 UTC
1 point
7 comments1 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

[Question] Pro­tect­ing EV calcu­la­tions against mo­ti­vated reasoning

freedomandutility12 Dec 2022 12:29 UTC
14 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

EA’s don’t quan­tify much or very well

Noah Scales17 Dec 2022 9:47 UTC
17 points
4 comments4 min readEA link

Lo­cal Memes Against Geo­met­ric Rationality

Scott Garrabrant21 Dec 2022 3:53 UTC
18 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Did I mi­s­un­der­stood ra­tio­nal­ity ?

MathCapibara21 Dec 2022 5:57 UTC
−5 points
1 comment3 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Insen­si­bil­ità alla por­tata: quando non con­sid­e­ri­amo quanti hanno bi­sogno del nos­tro aiuto

EA Italy23 Dec 2022 1:48 UTC
2 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Perché pensi di aver ra­gione an­che quando hai torto

EA Italy23 Dec 2022 1:48 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.ted.com)

[Opz­ionale] Utilons, pres­ti­gio e sen­saz­ioni che scal­dano il cuore

EA Italy23 Dec 2022 1:49 UTC
2 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Read The Sequences

Quadratic Reciprocity23 Dec 2022 11:54 UTC
46 points
42 comments5 min readEA link

On sincerity

Joe_Carlsmith23 Dec 2022 17:14 UTC
46 points
3 comments42 min readEA link

[Question] Why is “Ar­gu­ment Map­ping” Not More Com­mon in EA/​Ra­tion­al­ity (And What Ob­jec­tions Should I Ad­dress in a Post on the Topic?)

Harrison Durland23 Dec 2022 21:55 UTC
15 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Re­ac­tive de­val­u­a­tion: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt30 Dec 2022 9:02 UTC
2 points
9 comments1 min readEA link

Ex­treme risk neu­tral­ity isn’t always wrong

Grant Demaree31 Dec 2022 4:03 UTC
12 points
6 comments4 min readEA link

New book: The Tango of Ethics: In­tu­ition, Ra­tion­al­ity and the Preven­tion of Suffering

jonleighton2 Jan 2023 8:45 UTC
113 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

Belief Bias: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt2 Jan 2023 8:59 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

LW4EA: Elas­tic Pro­duc­tivity Tools

Jeremy3 Jan 2023 3:18 UTC
−1 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Ad­ding im­por­tant nu­ances to “pre­serve op­tion value” ar­gu­ments

MichaelA8 Jan 2023 9:30 UTC
36 points
1 comment5 min readEA link

Dangers of defer­ence

TsviBT8 Jan 2023 14:41 UTC
46 points
7 comments2 min readEA link

Kick-off meet­ing: Do­ing Things Bet­ter—A course in the art of ap­plied rationality

Severin11 Jan 2023 13:58 UTC
11 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] ‘Con­sid­er­az­ioni cru­ciali e filantropia sag­gia’, di Nick Bostrom

EA Italy12 Jan 2023 3:11 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link
(altruismoefficace.it)

[Opz­ionale] Far pa­gare l’af­fitto alle pro­prie credenze

EA Italy17 Jan 2023 11:11 UTC
1 point
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Che cos’è una prova o ev­i­denza?

EA Italy17 Jan 2023 11:12 UTC
1 point
0 comments4 min readEA link

Opinioni indipendenti

EA Italy18 Jan 2023 11:21 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

The Power Of Small Experiments

Alvin Ånestrand27 Jan 2023 17:30 UTC
9 points
2 comments7 min readEA link

Why Peo­ple Use Burner Ac­counts: A Com­men­tary on Black­lists, the EA “In­ner Cir­cle”, and Funding

BurnerExplainer8 Feb 2023 7:00 UTC
40 points
98 comments6 min readEA link

Ele­ments of Ra­tion­al­ist Discourse

RobBensinger14 Feb 2023 3:39 UTC
66 points
12 comments9 min readEA link

Please don’t throw your mind away

TsviBT15 Feb 2023 21:48 UTC
62 points
2 comments18 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Bayes is Out-Dated, and You’re Do­ing it Wrong

Anthony Repetto25 Feb 2023 23:25 UTC
−17 points
5 comments4 min readEA link

Acausal normalcy

Andrew Critch3 Mar 2023 23:35 UTC
21 points
4 comments8 min readEA link

How much can we learn from other peo­ple’s guesses?

David Johnston8 Mar 2023 3:29 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

The Nat­u­ral State is Goodhart

devansh20 Mar 2023 5:01 UTC
21 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Ex­er­cise: Things we got wrong

Adam Binks7 Apr 2023 18:30 UTC
37 points
12 comments1 min readEA link

EA & “The cor­rect re­sponse to un­cer­tainty is *not* half-speed”

Lizka9 Apr 2023 16:39 UTC
83 points
9 comments5 min readEA link

The Real­ity Mind­set and the Mythol­ogy Mindset

James Aitchison10 Apr 2023 15:18 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(jamesaitchison.co.uk)

Four mind­set dis­agree­ments be­hind ex­is­ten­tial risk dis­agree­ments in ML

RobBensinger11 Apr 2023 4:53 UTC
61 points
2 comments9 min readEA link

Effi­cient Learn­ing: Memorization

Alvin Ånestrand15 Apr 2023 12:51 UTC
9 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

High school­ers can ap­ply to the At­las Fel­low­ship: $10k schol­ar­ship + 11-day program

ashleylin20 Apr 2023 23:56 UTC
37 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

My ver­sion of Si­mu­lacra Levels

kokotajlod26 Apr 2023 19:06 UTC
24 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

In fa­vor of steelmanning

JP Addison1 May 2023 15:33 UTC
27 points
3 comments3 min readEA link

LessWrong Com­mu­nity Week­end 2023 [Ap­pli­ca­tions now closed]

LWCW20231 May 2023 19:07 UTC
5 points
0 comments6 min readEA link

How much do you be­lieve your re­sults?

Eric Neyman5 May 2023 19:51 UTC
208 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

Most peo­ple should prob­a­bly feel safe most of the time

Kaj_Sotala9 May 2023 9:41 UTC
26 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

On miss­ing moods and tradeoffs

Lizka9 May 2023 10:06 UTC
50 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

A note of cau­tion on be­liev­ing things on a gut level

Nathan_Barnard9 May 2023 12:20 UTC
41 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

In defence of epistemic mod­esty [dis­til­la­tion]

Luise10 May 2023 9:39 UTC
26 points
3 comments9 min readEA link

Con­flicts be­tween emo­tional schemas of­ten in­volve in­ter­nal coercion

richard_ngo17 May 2023 10:08 UTC
34 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Re­solv­ing in­ter­nal con­flicts re­quires listen­ing to what parts want

richard_ngo19 May 2023 0:04 UTC
23 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Trust de­vel­ops grad­u­ally via mak­ing bids and set­ting boundaries

richard_ngo19 May 2023 22:16 UTC
25 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Weight by Impact

vaniver21 May 2023 14:37 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing a new or­ga­ni­za­tion: Epistea

Epistea22 May 2023 5:52 UTC
49 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the Prague Fall Sea­son 2023 and the Epistea Res­i­dency Program

Epistea22 May 2023 5:52 UTC
88 points
2 comments4 min readEA link

In­group Deference

trammell26 May 2023 16:44 UTC
120 points
24 comments17 min readEA link

Ex­pert trap: What is it? (Part 1 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Pawel Sysiak6 Jun 2023 15:05 UTC
3 points
0 comments8 min readEA link

An Ex­er­cise to Build In­tu­itions on AGI Risk

Lauro Langosco8 Jun 2023 11:20 UTC
4 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.alignmentforum.org)

Notes on how I want to han­dle criticism

Lizka8 Jun 2023 11:47 UTC
63 points
3 comments4 min readEA link

Ex­pert trap (Part 2 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Pawel Sysiak9 Jun 2023 22:53 UTC
3 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

We ran a read­ing group on The Scout Mind­set (ques­tion bank in­cluded)

Neil Crawford24 Jun 2023 9:56 UTC
13 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

[LW Cross­post] New wind in ra­tio­nal­ity’s sails: Ap­pli­ca­tions for Epistea Res­i­dency 2023 are now open (dead­line: July 24)

Epistea1 Jul 2023 9:08 UTC
25 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Agency begets agency

richard_ngo6 Jul 2023 13:09 UTC
28 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

You must not fool your­self, and you are the eas­iest per­son to fool

richard_ngo8 Jul 2023 14:05 UTC
18 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

AI Risk and Sur­vivor­ship Bias—How An­dreessen and LeCun got it wrong

stepanlos14 Jul 2023 17:10 UTC
4 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

この世界は酷い場所だ。この世界はかなり善くなった。この世界はもっと善くなれる。

EA Japan15 Jul 2023 6:53 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

スコープ無反応性 — 助けを必要とするものの数を正しく把握できないこと

EA Japan15 Jul 2023 9:04 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

満足感と効用は別々に手に入れる

EA Japan16 Jul 2023 8:44 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Como são vie­ses cog­ni­tivos vis­tos por den­tro?

AE Brasil / EA Brazil20 Jul 2023 18:48 UTC
4 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Ex­pert trap: Ways out (Part 3 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Pawel Sysiak22 Jul 2023 13:05 UTC
2 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

The Parable of the Dag­ger—The Animation

Writer29 Jul 2023 14:03 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

An­nounc­ing the Clearer Think­ing micro-grants pro­gram for 2023

spencerg7 Aug 2023 15:19 UTC
19 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.clearerthinking.org)

Craft­ing Our Mis­sion State­ment: Weighted Fac­tor Models, Shal­low Re­search, and Les­sons Learned for Clar­ity and Impact

Harry Luk13 Oct 2023 16:43 UTC
8 points
4 comments6 min readEA link

Ra­tion­al­ity Club at UChicago

Daniel Birnbaum17 Oct 2023 2:13 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Con­trol­ling for a thinker’s big idea

Vasco Grilo21 Oct 2023 7:56 UTC
60 points
11 comments8 min readEA link
(magnusvinding.com)

Sum­mary of Eliezer Yud­kowsky’s “Cog­ni­tive Bi­ases Po­ten­tially Affect­ing Judg­ment of Global Risks”

Damin Curtis7 Nov 2023 18:19 UTC
5 points
2 comments5 min readEA link

Pro­posal for im­prov­ing the global on­line dis­course through per­son­al­ised com­ment or­der­ing on all websites

Roman Leventov7 Dec 2023 9:11 UTC
9 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

Against Learn­ing From Dra­matic Events (by Scott Alexan­der)

bern17 Jan 2024 16:34 UTC
46 points
3 comments2 min readEA link
(www.astralcodexten.com)

Epistemic Hell

rogersbacon127 Jan 2024 17:17 UTC
10 points
1 comment14 min readEA link
(www.secretorum.life)

Refin­ing My Mo­ral Values Us­ing Steel­man Solitaire

Evan LaForge2 Feb 2024 10:07 UTC
16 points
3 comments9 min readEA link

Fo­cus­ing on bad crit­i­cism is dan­ger­ous to your epistemics

Lizka15 Mar 2024 23:57 UTC
64 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

Effec­tive lan­guage-learn­ing for effec­tive altruists

taoburga19 Mar 2024 0:42 UTC
32 points
5 comments10 min readEA link

[Linkpost] LessOn­line (May 31—June 2, Berkeley, CA)

Saul Munn28 Mar 2024 23:37 UTC
23 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(Less.Online)
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