I think nuclear winters are now predicted to be much less severe than once feared. At least, that is what a very indepth EA forum post argues.
I think the finding points us toward being a bit more skeptical of the idea that some effective altruists seem to hold — that a nuclear war between the US and Russia would necessarily lead to a nuclear winter that posed a large risk of extinction.
When I saw “implicit bias” in the post’s title, I was expecting a very different post. I was expecting a definition along the lines of:
I don’t know if others will have a similar misunderstanding of what you meant by “implicit bias”. But if so, to avoid confusion, I’d suggest you use a different term like “implicit assumption” instead.