These are great questions. Several similar questions are already up which I’ve linked below (including one I approved after this post was written). I’ve also written three new questions based on your ideas, which I’m just waiting for someone else to proofread and will then add to this post.
These are great questions. Several similar questions are already up which I’ve linked below (including one I approved after this post was written). I’ve also written three new questions based on your ideas, which I’m just waiting for someone else to proofread and will then add to this post.
Will one of GiveWell’s 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?
How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2031?
Will the number of people in extreme poverty in 2020 be lower than the number in 2015?
Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030?
What will the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day poverty be in 2030?
How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?
Will the impact of the Effective Altruism movement be picked up by Google Trends in 2030?
Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?