I’ve written a book called The Future Loves You: How and Why We Should Abolish Death. It makes the case for providing the terminally ill with access to preservation procedures capable of putting them into a kind of stasis, with the expectation that future medical advances should be capable of restoring them to health. The book makes the case for why this is a reasonable perspective to hold from a neuroscientific, medical, and philosophical position, and also explores the related ethical/social/economic complications.
Ask people how long they’d like to live for (with no further qualification), and most people state they’d like to live at least 10 years long than they’re statistically likely to get. Specify that these years would be in good mental and physical health, and the majority state 150+ years. Go so far as to survey the remaining desire for life of the terminally ill, and you will find that around 70% of them still hold a strong will-to-live right up until the bitter end.
People do not get to live as long and as healthily as they would like to. The 60 million human deaths that occur per year is no less tragic for its normality.
These innumerable personal tragedies unfold because, even though medicine has developed greatly between the 1920s and the 2020s, it is still far from maturity. Sure, we should be grateful for the many advances that have helped global life-expectancy to more than double from thirty-two in 1900 to seventy-two today. But, even so, the breakthroughs are not coming fast enough to give everyone as much time as they might want. Our grandparents, our parents, our friends, and sometimes even our children are still dying all around us. Metastatic cancer, dementia, end-stage heart failure, and every other invariably fatal disease stand as testimony to the fact that one day we, and everyone we love, will die.
Some disagree with this pessimism. For example, take people who pursue cryonics, the practice of having one’s body pumped full of antifreeze and suspended upside down in a flask of liquid nitrogen. Motivated by what they see as a clear historical trend of medical progress, its adherents believe that freezing the bodies of the clinically dead will allow for their eventual resurrection when more advanced technology one day becomes available.
Still, the problem is that cryonics as practised has many of the hallmarks of a pseudoscience or cult, including: quasi-religious claims of an afterlife for those who perform arcane rituals, a lack of engagement with mainstream medicine or endorsement by esteemed scientists, and large upfront payments required for services that have no guarantee of success. None of these features inspire confidence that the frozen clients of cryonics will ever see another spring.
But even so, the fact that the claims of cryonicists are unsubstantiated doesn’t make the core idea of preserving the dying to enable their future revival fundamentally unsound. Within this science fiction is a kernel of truth: with sufficient understanding of how the brain enables a person to be who they are, it might be possible to place a dying individual in a state from which they could one day be revived. For it to actually work, though, we would need answers to two critical questions:
How exactly does the human brain enable a person to be who they are?
How does the brain decay during death?
Armed with answers to both of these, it’s possible that we really could devise a way to halt the decay of brain structures crucial to personhood, and keep someone in indefinite stasis until sufficient medical advances could one day restore them to health. Cryonicists likely fail here, as their methods harm the brain’s structural integrity and do visible damage to its crucial circuitry. But perhaps neuroscientists could do better?
Certainly, in the past decade, it has become clear that neuroscience can offer sufficient answers to the two critical questions about personhood and death, even to the point of being able to directly manipulate the relevant brain structures. Neuroscientists now know how to erase, insert, and force the recall of specific memories. Doctors are increasingly providing prosthetic implants to functionally replace portions of the brain. The last few years have even seen the successful development of procedures arguably capable of perfectly preserving a human brain.
Perhaps, then, it is time to seriously evaluate the potential of a brain preservation procedure to buy more time for those we would otherwise consider beyond medical help. At the very least, the required starting assumption – that a person is to a large degree defined by the unique structure of their brain – is now entirely uncontroversial among neuroscientists and doctors.
My book is a report of just such an investigation. And in the end, I conclude that:
Aldehyde-stabilised cryopreservation, a technique already existing today, provides a credible possibility of indefinitely delaying death
It does so at a marginal cost of ~$10,000/procedure and ~$1000/year in storage costs, well below the $50,000/QALY threshold used in many developed countries and arguably competitive with GiveWell’s top recommendations.
Revival of individuals will likely only occur in a flourishing future, and having a personal stake in the future going well is naturally synergistic with longtermist thinking.
Announcing ‘The Future Loves You: How and Why We Should Abolish Death’
Summary
I’ve written a book called The Future Loves You: How and Why We Should Abolish Death. It makes the case for providing the terminally ill with access to preservation procedures capable of putting them into a kind of stasis, with the expectation that future medical advances should be capable of restoring them to health. The book makes the case for why this is a reasonable perspective to hold from a neuroscientific, medical, and philosophical position, and also explores the related ethical/social/economic complications.
It will be out in hardback/ebook/audiobook format on November 28.
Book Overview
Ask people how long they’d like to live for (with no further qualification), and most people state they’d like to live at least 10 years long than they’re statistically likely to get. Specify that these years would be in good mental and physical health, and the majority state 150+ years. Go so far as to survey the remaining desire for life of the terminally ill, and you will find that around 70% of them still hold a strong will-to-live right up until the bitter end.
People do not get to live as long and as healthily as they would like to. The 60 million human deaths that occur per year is no less tragic for its normality.
These innumerable personal tragedies unfold because, even though medicine has developed greatly between the 1920s and the 2020s, it is still far from maturity. Sure, we should be grateful for the many advances that have helped global life-expectancy to more than double from thirty-two in 1900 to seventy-two today. But, even so, the breakthroughs are not coming fast enough to give everyone as much time as they might want. Our grandparents, our parents, our friends, and sometimes even our children are still dying all around us. Metastatic cancer, dementia, end-stage heart failure, and every other invariably fatal disease stand as testimony to the fact that one day we, and everyone we love, will die.
Some disagree with this pessimism. For example, take people who pursue cryonics, the practice of having one’s body pumped full of antifreeze and suspended upside down in a flask of liquid nitrogen. Motivated by what they see as a clear historical trend of medical progress, its adherents believe that freezing the bodies of the clinically dead will allow for their eventual resurrection when more advanced technology one day becomes available.
Still, the problem is that cryonics as practised has many of the hallmarks of a pseudoscience or cult, including: quasi-religious claims of an afterlife for those who perform arcane rituals, a lack of engagement with mainstream medicine or endorsement by esteemed scientists, and large upfront payments required for services that have no guarantee of success. None of these features inspire confidence that the frozen clients of cryonics will ever see another spring.
But even so, the fact that the claims of cryonicists are unsubstantiated doesn’t make the core idea of preserving the dying to enable their future revival fundamentally unsound. Within this science fiction is a kernel of truth: with sufficient understanding of how the brain enables a person to be who they are, it might be possible to place a dying individual in a state from which they could one day be revived. For it to actually work, though, we would need answers to two critical questions:
How exactly does the human brain enable a person to be who they are?
How does the brain decay during death?
Armed with answers to both of these, it’s possible that we really could devise a way to halt the decay of brain structures crucial to personhood, and keep someone in indefinite stasis until sufficient medical advances could one day restore them to health. Cryonicists likely fail here, as their methods harm the brain’s structural integrity and do visible damage to its crucial circuitry. But perhaps neuroscientists could do better?
Certainly, in the past decade, it has become clear that neuroscience can offer sufficient answers to the two critical questions about personhood and death, even to the point of being able to directly manipulate the relevant brain structures. Neuroscientists now know how to erase, insert, and force the recall of specific memories. Doctors are increasingly providing prosthetic implants to functionally replace portions of the brain. The last few years have even seen the successful development of procedures arguably capable of perfectly preserving a human brain.
Perhaps, then, it is time to seriously evaluate the potential of a brain preservation procedure to buy more time for those we would otherwise consider beyond medical help. At the very least, the required starting assumption – that a person is to a large degree defined by the unique structure of their brain – is now entirely uncontroversial among neuroscientists and doctors.
My book is a report of just such an investigation. And in the end, I conclude that:
Aldehyde-stabilised cryopreservation, a technique already existing today, provides a credible possibility of indefinitely delaying death
It does so at a marginal cost of ~$10,000/procedure and ~$1000/year in storage costs, well below the $50,000/QALY threshold used in many developed countries and arguably competitive with GiveWell’s top recommendations.
Revival of individuals will likely only occur in a flourishing future, and having a personal stake in the future going well is naturally synergistic with longtermist thinking.
Table of Contents
UK Book Tour
Edinburgh − 27-Nov
Hay Winter Festival − 30-Nov
London—Royal Institution − 02-Dec
London—Kings College − 03-Dec (link should be available here soon)
Oxford − 04-Dec
Pre-Order Now—Out November 28 - (obviously I can’t make you, but I’d really appreciate it!)
UK (Hardcover, Ebook, Audiobook)
US (Audiobook) - Hardcover/Ebook links to come
Australia/New Zealand (Hardcover, Ebook, Audiobook)
Related Earlier Forum Posts
Questioning assumptions: Why the EA community should lead in the debate on brain preservation (May 17 2024)
Brain preservation to prevent involuntary death: a possible cause area (Mar 22 2022)