If you substantially changed your mind on this issue (e.g. flip the sign, or move towards a more/less extreme position), how would your actions change?
If the specific wording of the debate topic isn’t a crux for you on anything important, I’d be interested in what your actual cruxes are (as opposed to anchoring on the specific wording of the debate).
Feel free to add caveats and constraints on your reasoning :)
Some general musings:
My guess is discussions like this are more productive if people understand what is personally at stake for you (versus some abstract actor / “EA”)
And maybe you should deprioritize figuring this question out if you don’t think it’s a crux for you.
Pre-registering this seems good for avoiding post-hoc rationalization
I’m more motivated to help someone work through their thinking if I know what’s at stake for them (versus just improving models in general).
[Question] What would you do differently if you changed your mind?
If you substantially changed your mind on this issue (e.g. flip the sign, or move towards a more/less extreme position), how would your actions change?
If the specific wording of the debate topic isn’t a crux for you on anything important, I’d be interested in what your actual cruxes are (as opposed to anchoring on the specific wording of the debate).
Feel free to add caveats and constraints on your reasoning :)
Some general musings:
My guess is discussions like this are more productive if people understand what is personally at stake for you (versus some abstract actor / “EA”)
And maybe you should deprioritize figuring this question out if you don’t think it’s a crux for you.
Pre-registering this seems good for avoiding post-hoc rationalization
I’m more motivated to help someone work through their thinking if I know what’s at stake for them (versus just improving models in general).