Hmm, I have not phrased my idea clearly, so thank you for your comment, because now I am improving my concepts :)
If there are many more undesirable configurations of the world than desirable ones, then we should, a priori, expect that our present configuration is an undesirable one.
I agree with this. But that does not imply that disruption would not have a negative effect on expectation.
I don’t see disruption as ‘re-randomization’ and picking any new configuration out of the space of all possible futures. Rather, I see disruption as a ‘random departure’ from a current state, and not each possible future is equally close to the current state. And because I expect there to almost always be more ways to go ‘down’ than ‘up’, I expect this random departure to be (highly) negative.
Hmm, I have not phrased my idea clearly, so thank you for your comment, because now I am improving my concepts :)
I agree with this. But that does not imply that disruption would not have a negative effect on expectation.
I don’t see disruption as ‘re-randomization’ and picking any new configuration out of the space of all possible futures. Rather, I see disruption as a ‘random departure’ from a current state, and not each possible future is equally close to the current state. And because I expect there to almost always be more ways to go ‘down’ than ‘up’, I expect this random departure to be (highly) negative.