Thanks for this. Have you seen the reports produced by BreakThrough https://www.breakthroughonline.org.au/
The authors argue that:
the IPCC reports and those based on them are overly conservative and under report the probability and impact of climate risks
the serious impacts that are often considered in 2100 scenarios will more likely come around 2050
I don’t have the expertise to describe how the calculations you’ve done above would be affected by this, but hopefully someone else will.
Thanks for this. Have you seen the reports produced by BreakThrough https://www.breakthroughonline.org.au/
The authors argue that:
the IPCC reports and those based on them are overly conservative and under report the probability and impact of climate risks
the serious impacts that are often considered in 2100 scenarios will more likely come around 2050
I don’t have the expertise to describe how the calculations you’ve done above would be affected by this, but hopefully someone else will.