I don’t think what Paul means by fast takeoff is the same thing as the sort of discontinous jump that would enable a pivotal act. I think fast for Paul just means the negation of Paul-slow: ‘no four year economic doubling before one year economic doubling’. But whatever Paul thinks the survey respondents did give at least 10% to scenarios where a pivotal act is possible.
Even so, ‘this isn’t how I expect things to to on the mainline so I’m not going to focus on what to do here’ is far less of a mistake than ‘I have no plan for what to do on my mainline’, and I think the researchers who ignored pivotal acts are mostly doing the first one
I don’t think what Paul means by fast takeoff is the same thing as the sort of discontinous jump that would enable a pivotal act. I think fast for Paul just means the negation of Paul-slow: ‘no four year economic doubling before one year economic doubling’. But whatever Paul thinks the survey respondents did give at least 10% to scenarios where a pivotal act is possible.
Even so, ‘this isn’t how I expect things to to on the mainline so I’m not going to focus on what to do here’ is far less of a mistake than ‘I have no plan for what to do on my mainline’, and I think the researchers who ignored pivotal acts are mostly doing the first one