Criticism of specific accounts of imminent AGI

A collection of Effective Altruism Forum posts that make critical or skeptical arguments against specific accounts or theories of how artificial general intelligence (AGI) will supposedly emerge very soon.

Ques­tion­able Nar­ra­tives of “Si­tu­a­tional Aware­ness”

Un­falsifi­able sto­ries of doom

Yud­kowsky and Soares’ Book Is Empty

AI Safety Has a Very Par­tic­u­lar Worldview

A deep cri­tique of AI 2027’s bad timeline models