In this sequence, Luisa Rodriguez explores the probability and severity of nuclear war.
The first post looks into which plausible nuclear exchange scenarios should worry us most, ranking them based on their potential to cause harm.
The second post explores the make-up and survivability of the US and Russian nuclear arsenals. The third post estimates the number of people that would die as a direct result of a nuclear exchange between NATO states and Russia.
The fourth post estimates the severity of the nuclear famine we might expect to result from a NATO-Russia nuclear war.
The fifth post estimates a rough sense of probability of nuclear war by looking at historical evidence, the views of experts, and predictions made by forecasters.
The sixth post investigates whether the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons is likely to have an impact on nuclear deproliferation through formal legal channels.
The seventh post revises some of the estimations made in the earlier posts.