In this sequence, Luisa Rodriguez explores the probability and severity of nuclear war.

• The first post looks into which plausible nuclear exchange scenarios should worry us most, ranking them based on their potential to cause harm.

• The second post explores the make-up and survivability of the US and Russian nuclear arsenals. The third post estimates the number of people that would die as a direct result of a nuclear exchange between NATO states and Russia.

• The fourth post estimates the severity of the nuclear famine we might expect to result from a NATO-Russia nuclear war.

• The fifth post estimates a rough sense of probability of nuclear war by looking at historical evidence, the views of experts, and predictions made by forecasters.

• The sixth post investigates whether the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons is likely to have an impact on nuclear deproliferation through formal legal channels.

• The seventh post revises some of the estimations made in the earlier posts.