What to do about short timelines?

This sequence collects various questions I’ve made, as I attempt to figure out what to do about my short timelines. The questions are of broader significance, however, and should be asked by those with long timelines also.

I asked the same questions on LessWrong as well, so I encourage readers to check those out also if they are eager to see more answers and comments.

[Question] What con­sid­er­a­tions in­fluence whether I have more in­fluence over short or long timelines?

[Question] How can I bet on short timelines?

[Question] Is this a good way to bet on short timelines?