Courting Virgo

In which we begin to estimate how concerned longtermists should be about the effect of catastrophes on our chances of colonising the local supercluster.

Longter­mist (es­pe­cially x-risk) ter­minol­ogy has bi­as­ing assumptions

A pro­posed hi­er­ar­chy of longter­mist concepts

Model­ling civil­i­sa­tion be­yond a catastrophe

Up­date: an im­proved sim­ple model of re­cur­rent catastrophes

Two tools for re­think­ing ex­is­ten­tial risk