Mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk—Reflective altruism

BrownHairedEevee
3 Jul 2023 3:55 UTC

“Mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk” is a series of blog posts on the Reflective altruism blog, by David Thorstad, which analyzes the ways in which estimates of the value of reducing existential risk have been inflated. It is adapted from his paper of the same title.

Three mis­takes in the moral math­e­mat­ics of ex­is­ten­tial risk (David Thorstad)

Global Priorities Institute4 Jul 2023 13:18 UTC
48 points
14 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Mis­takes in the moral math­e­mat­ics of ex­is­ten­tial risk (Part 1: In­tro­duc­tion and cu­mu­la­tive risk) - Reflec­tive altruism

BrownHairedEevee3 Jul 2023 6:33 UTC
74 points
6 comments6 min readEA link
(ineffectivealtruismblog.com)

Mis­takes in the moral math­e­mat­ics of ex­is­ten­tial risk (Part 2: Ig­nor­ing back­ground risk) - Reflec­tive altruism

BrownHairedEevee3 Jul 2023 6:34 UTC
84 points
7 comments6 min readEA link
(ineffectivealtruismblog.com)