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David Johnston

Karma: 676

A brief the­ory of why we think things are good or bad

David JohnstonOct 20, 2024, 12:15 PM
5 points
1 comment4 min readEA link

Longter­mism and short­ter­mism can dis­agree on nu­clear war to stop ad­vanced AI

David JohnstonMar 30, 2023, 11:22 PM
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

How much can we learn from other peo­ple’s guesses?

David JohnstonMar 8, 2023, 3:29 AM
5 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

How likely are ma­lign pri­ors over ob­jec­tives? [aborted WIP]

David JohnstonNov 11, 2022, 6:03 AM
6 points
0 commentsEA link

When can a mimic sur­prise you? Why gen­er­a­tive mod­els han­dle seem­ingly ill-posed problems

David JohnstonNov 6, 2022, 11:46 AM
6 points
0 commentsEA link

Govern­ments pose larger risks than cor­po­ra­tions: a brief re­sponse to Grace

David JohnstonOct 19, 2022, 11:54 AM
11 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Which pos­si­ble AI im­pacts should re­ceive the most ad­di­tional at­ten­tion?

David JohnstonMay 31, 2022, 2:01 AM
10 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

[Cross-post] Change my mind: we should define and mea­sure the effec­tive­ness of ad­vanced AI

David JohnstonApr 6, 2022, 12:20 AM
4 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

[Cross-post] A nu­clear war fore­cast is not a coin flip

David JohnstonMar 15, 2022, 4:01 AM
29 points
12 comments3 min readEA link

Fore­cast pro­ce­dure competitions

David JohnstonJan 10, 2022, 12:17 AM
10 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Question] Who is work­ing on struc­tured crowd fore­cast­ing?

David JohnstonDec 20, 2021, 8:58 AM
4 points
6 comments1 min readEA link