RSS

dschwarz

Karma: 272

Interested in forecasting, epistemology, and AI. Long-time LW lurker, https://​​www.lesswrong.com/​​users/​​dschwarz

CEO of FutureSearch. Previously CTO Metaculus, creator of Google’s current internal prediction market.

Us­ing fore­casts to in­form dona­tion decisions

Robert Gambee 🔸4 Aug 2026 17:03 UTC
6 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(futuresearch.ai)

[LW xpost] Unit eco­nomics of LLM APIs

dschwarz27 Aug 2024 16:55 UTC
19 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

A break­down of OpenAI’s revenue

dschwarz10 Jul 2024 18:07 UTC
58 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

dschwarz’s Quick takes

dschwarz3 Jun 2024 1:38 UTC
3 points
2 commentsEA link

The Ra­tionale-Shaped Hole At The Heart Of Forecasting

dschwarz2 Apr 2024 15:51 UTC
161 points
15 comments11 min readEA link

[job] Me­tac­u­lus has new soft­ware roles

dschwarz7 Nov 2022 21:19 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(apply.workable.com)