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Marcel D

Karma: 1,910

Fore­cast­ing With LLMs—An Open and Promis­ing Re­search Direction

Marcel DMar 12, 2024, 4:23 AM
13 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

From Lab­o­ra­to­ries to Lan­guage Models: Can AI Sup­port Ri­gor in the Jun­gle of Policy Anal­y­sis? (Linkpost)

Marcel DFeb 6, 2024, 6:51 PM
22 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(georgetownsecuritystudiesreview.org)

Please, some­one make a dataset of sup­posed cases of “tech panic”

Marcel DNov 7, 2023, 2:49 AM
4 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Disen­tan­gling Some Im­por­tant Fore­cast­ing Con­cepts and Terms

Marcel DJun 25, 2023, 5:31 PM
16 points
2 comments10 min readEA link

How CISA can Sup­port the Se­cu­rity of Large AI Models Against Theft [Grad School As­sign­ment]

Marcel DMay 3, 2023, 3:36 PM
7 points
0 comments13 min readEA link

[Question] Plat­form for Pro­ject Spit­bal­ling? (e.g., for AI field build­ing)

Marcel DApr 3, 2023, 3:45 PM
7 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Han­dling Mo­ral Uncer­tainty with Aver­age vs. To­tal Utili­tar­i­anism: One Method That Ap­par­ently *Doesn’t* Work (But Seemed Like it Should)

Marcel DJan 5, 2023, 10:18 PM
10 points
0 comments8 min readEA link

[Question] Why is “Ar­gu­ment Map­ping” Not More Com­mon in EA/​Ra­tion­al­ity (And What Ob­jec­tions Should I Ad­dress in a Post on the Topic?)

Marcel DDec 23, 2022, 9:55 PM
15 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How/​When Should One In­tro­duce AI Risk Ar­gu­ments to Peo­ple Un­fa­mil­iar With the Idea?

Marcel DAug 9, 2022, 2:57 AM
12 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

Re­search + Real­ity Graph­ing to Sup­port AI Policy (and more): Sum­mary of a Frozen Project

Marcel DJul 2, 2022, 8:58 PM
34 points
2 comments8 min readEA link

The COILS Frame­work for De­ci­sion Anal­y­sis: A Short­ened In­tro+Pitch

Marcel DMay 7, 2022, 7:01 PM
16 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

[Question] Would Struc­tured Dis­cus­sion Plat­forms for EA Com­mu­nity Build­ing Ideas be Valuable? (With Pro­to­type Ex­am­ple)

Marcel DMay 4, 2022, 6:49 PM
15 points
9 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] Would peo­ple like to see “cu­ra­tion com­ments” on posts with high num­bers of com­ments?

Marcel DApr 17, 2022, 4:40 AM
18 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

r/​place is com­ing back on April 1st: EA pixel art, any­one?

Marcel DMar 31, 2022, 8:50 PM
5 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] A dataset for AI/​su­per­in­tel­li­gence sto­ries and other me­dia?

Marcel DMar 29, 2022, 9:41 PM
20 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How might a herd of in­terns help with AI or biose­cu­rity re­search tasks/​ques­tions?

Marcel DMar 20, 2022, 10:49 PM
30 points
8 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] EA Topic Sugges­tions for Re­search Map­ping?

Marcel DMar 5, 2022, 4:46 PM
5 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] “Epistemic maps” for AI De­bates? (or for other is­sues)

Marcel DAug 30, 2021, 4:59 AM
14 points
9 comments5 min readEA link

The TUILS/​COILS Frame­work for Im­prov­ing Pro-Con Analysis

Marcel DApr 8, 2021, 1:37 AM
11 points
1 comment14 min readEA link

Mar­cel D’s Quick takes

Marcel DDec 5, 2020, 4:10 AM
2 points
32 commentsEA link